ezpi

BTCUSD / Upcoming fake pump then dump / 6750 -> 6500 -> 5xxx

Short
ezpi Updated   
BITFINEX:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
I have a slight feeling we are about to see a fake pump then dump to break 6500 support zone.
5800 and lower incoming.

If it fails we'll bounce and see 7k.

Just a few hours ago the % of long/shorts was 70/30 and within a few hours it flipped and is now 50/50%.

I havent seen it change that fast before. (Usually there are always more longs than shorts, by about 10-20%).
Comment:
its about 1.5 hrs since i posted and i am starting to see the activity right now.
i have shorts at 6650, 6675, 6700, 6725, 6750, and 6800
i dont think the bulls can fight that high but it would be great if they did :)

right now the bulls are hardly able to fight to 6625.

i might have to lower my shorts to get in this thing ;/

TP1: 6400 35%
TP2: 6000 35%
TP3: 5800 30%
SL: 6988

re-analyze at 5800 for shorting further.
I will lower stop-loss to TPs as we go down.
Comment:
....5600 fill in zone is most likely, btw...
if we go lower than that we're heading to 4k levels. which will be yearly bottom. i dont want to say yet if thats possible. id rather bitcoin held above 5k permanently....
Trade active:
so luckily i called it almost 100% perfect, but nobody can do exactly 100%.

I got in my trades at 6650, 6675, and 6700 within 2 hours of my post.
it then went down. i did not get my 6750 or 6800 trades in.

btw I also shorted XRP which has potential to drop to .12

as you all saw, 4 hours after my post, we dropped.

we are now at 5800-6100 support zone.
i believe we will be here for awhile before the market will tell us if it bounces or drops more.
i believe we will drop more after a little sideways action and a few fake breakout attempts. maximum 3. probably 2.
fake breakouts will get to a high of 6400 so i lowered my SL to 6450 now. locks in ~5% profit overall.

(there are a TON of shorts that piled on between 6300-6400....they arent going to let it go above or they will liquid8)

i think we will see by sunday. if not, then monday market open will surely move us in some direction if we are still in this range by then.
Comment:
BTW, monitor market and if we are going to sit at this range for more than 12h, I suggest exiting your shorts to lock profit and re-shorting at possible 6400 pump.
exit 5900-6000, re-short 6250-6400
ONLY if market stays here at this range for 12h+ and shows a bit of up/down.
if its continuing to pound down, then no need to exit.

right now we are at a 25/75 long/short split which is INSANE.
market USUALLY rests at a 65/35 to 70/30 long/short split.
Trade closed: target reached:
all targets reached
8.4% average profit x5 leverage =~ 40% profit trade
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