Guestimate for trajectory and timeframes for bitcoin top/bottom

BTCE:BTCUSD   Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar
with a target of the top of january bear trendline , the path of least resistance has us currently inside the 4hr cloud. Upcoming 6hr cloud is above from 447 and is thinnest in the short term. We need to break this channel up with some gusto to reach the bear channel line around 465 by May 10th. Then the slide down can commence
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