XRP – Is History Repeating Itself?I'm comparing the current XRP cycle with the previous one to better estimate the timing of a potential bottom.
Back in the previous cycle, XRP first broke below a major support level and entered a prolonged correction phase.
What happened next? 👀
🔹 Price consolidated for more than 112 days
🔹 RSI spent an extended period below the 30 oversold level
🔹 Momentum gradually stabilized while sellers exhausted themselves
The real bullish signal only came later:
✅ RSI turned back higher from oversold territory
✅ Price broke above the falling red channel
✅ A new bullish phase started
Now, a very similar structure is developing.
Once again:
🔹 Price has broken below a major low
🔹 XRP is trading within a falling channel
🔹 RSI is diving below the 30 level
If the historical pattern continues to play out, we could see a prolonged consolidation phase lasting around 112 days before the bulls are ready to take control.
For now, the focus is not on predicting the exact bottom price.
The focus is on watching for the same sequence of events that marked the previous cycle bottom:
📌 RSI recovering from oversold conditions
📌 A breakout above the falling red channel
📌 Confirmation that bullish momentum is returning
Until then, patience remains key. ⏳
Will XRP follow the same roadmap once again? 🤔
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Bottom
BTC – Is History Repeating Once Again?To locate and time a potential cycle bottom, I am comparing the current Bitcoin cycle to the previous ones. 🧠
Interestingly, the structure continues to look very similar.
Just like in prior cycles, BTC is now retesting previous major highs, marked in green. Historically, these former resistance zones have often acted as support during major corrections before the next bull market began. 🔑
At the same time, the MACD is showing another encouraging sign. After months of bearish momentum, its angle is now starting to shift from downward to upward, similar to what happened near previous cycle lows. 📊
However, the bulls have not taken control yet.
For the next bull run to begin, a monthly candle close above the 9-period moving average is needed. Until that happens, the current recovery remains a potential bottoming process rather than a confirmed bullish reversal. ⚠️
The coming months could be critical as Bitcoin attempts to repeat the pattern seen in previous cycles.
Will history repeat itself one more time? 🤔
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
$DOGE About To Bottom? Tactical Guide To My Next Spot PositionDOGE has been in a long-term corrective phase since printing the 2024 high at 0.48493, as shown on the 2D chart. We are currently compressing right above a major liquidity pool, and a high-probability setup is shaping up.
The Immediate Play:
I am patiently waiting to see the price reaction at the Range Low ($0.08794). The goal here is to accumulate a spot position, but I am not blindly bidding. I want to see a clean liquidity sweep of this level first to flush out late breakout shorts and retail stops.
Trigger : Sweep of 0.08794 followed by a lower-timeframe reclaim and bullish momentum.
Invalidation : A daily close under the 10/10 low (the 0.08811–0.08564 cluster). If the daily candle closes below this zone, the structure breaks and the setup is invalidated.
The Macro Plan B:
If the 10/10 low fails to hold and we get an HTF market structure shift to the downside, the next major area of interest where I will look to heavily buy spot is the macro '22-23 HTF SUPPORT down at the $0.05 psychological level.
Let me know your thoughts in the comments below. Are you bidding this range low or waiting for lower?
PEAQ Network about to make another pea(q) ? Bottom can be IN!
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Is this the time?
Chart Recap
🔍 Pattern:
Price formed a falling wedge pattern, which typically signals a potential bullish reversal.
A large W-shaped double bottom pattern is highlighted at the wedge's base, adding strength to the bullish thesis. Can this be the awaited bottom?
🟢 Accumulation & Support Zone :
"DISCOUNT ZONE" is marked near $0.0547, aligned with the wedge support.
Repeated touches at this level suggest strong buyer interest — also called "MY NAME IS PEAQ" and "LOADING EVERYWHERE"
🚀 Bullish Scenario & Targets:
If the wedge breakout plays out:
TP1: $0.0923 – early target near the local range high.
TP2: $0.1618 – aligns with the 0.382 Fib level.
Labeled as “LOADING EVERYWHERE”
TP3: $0.4618 – near the 0.618 retracement.
“THERE IS NO GOING BACK NOW”
TP4: $0.7556 – previous swing high.
“GET READY FOR LIFT-OFF”
TP5: $3.5650 – long-term Fib extension target (1.618).
Ultimate moonshot-level target.
Bitcoin's Final Shakeout Before the Bottom?Bitcoin isn't doing anything unusual.
In fact, it's doing what it has done before.
The setup 📊
When you overlay the current cycle with the previous one, the similarities become hard to ignore.
The sequence looks very familiar:
• Expansion phase
• Cycle peak
• Sharp decline
• Extended correction
Up to this point, Bitcoin has been tracking that roadmap surprisingly well.
Where are we now?
If we use the previous cycle as a reference, the final bottom didn't arrive immediately after the correction.
Before the recovery began, price printed one last low.
The clue came from momentum 🧠
Price continued lower.
But RSI didn't.
Instead, RSI started showing strength beneath the surface by forming a bullish divergence.
That divergence was an early indication that bearish momentum was fading.
Not long after, the market found its bottom and a new cycle began.
What could happen next?
If the current cycle continues to mirror the previous one, we may still see:
• One final dip in price
• A completed bullish RSI divergence
• A shift in momentum back toward the bulls
That trio could become the recipe for a major bottom.
So the question is:
Is Bitcoin preparing for one last shakeout before the next leg higher... or will this cycle write a different story?
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
BITCOIN - Possible bottom of the bear market. Possible price target for bitcoin the coming months.
$45,000-50,000 per BTC seems like a good price target to reach and how we reach down there we will see. Further down or bottom for the bear market? We will see how the stock market look at that point aswell as sentiment if we reach that area.
When the war started everyone was panicking, We was bullish, not due to the news but due to the overall sentiment + what the chart looked like. Now we do the inverse. As bears become bulls its very likely the bearmarket bounce is done here. But we all know that bear market rallies can be extreme, So we never know if we will make a fake out above the current trendline above us. Time will always tell. But I can definetly see it playing out like this.
Good luck and have fun trading.
Tech-Software Reversal? 3 Key Signals Confirming a Market BottomIGV Tech-Software Sector: Potential Bottom Confirmed by Key Technical Confluence
Based on the weekly chart of IGV (iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF), the price action suggests a solid base has been formed. Multiple bullish technical signals are converging, indicating a high probability of an upward reversal.
Here are the three core rationales supporting this bullish outlook:
Strong Horizontal Support: The price is currently consolidating in a critical demand zone around the $78 level. Historical data shows this horizontal support line has been tested and respected approximately 7 times. This repeated validation proves the level is highly effective with strong underlying buying interest.
Takeout Stops Pattern (False Breakdown): Between late March and early April, the price action executed a textbook liquidity grab (takeout stops). It briefly dipped below the established horizontal support—flushing out long stop-losses—before immediately reversing and closing green back above the line. This false breakdown is a strong reversal signal indicating institutional accumulation.
SMA 200 Support & Bullish Engulfing: The most recent weekly candle printed a powerful "Bullish Engulfing" pattern. Crucially, the closing price decisively reclaimed the long-term 200-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA 200).
Conclusion:
The exact overlapping of these three factors—a heavily tested horizontal base, a rapid takeout of stops, and the reclaiming of the 200-Week SMA—provides strong conviction that this zone is a recognized market bottom. This structure offers a highly favorable risk-to-reward ratio for mid-to-long-term positioning.
Risk Management:
Regardless of the high-probability setup, a disciplined trader must always implement a strict stop-loss to manage downside risk.
Get ready for another Big Target in TaoHello Traders!
Recently we completed the big target in Beatusdt which was as big as this and now Tao is also ready for a massive bullish move.
There was a big dump in Tao and in most of the cases The market dump more after big drop but in this case Tao is ready to recover and will show strong bullish move soon. It is almost at the bottom and has very less space for bears. So we are lucky to buy it from bottom.
Stoploss 221(-7%)
Target 313 (+31%)
My aim is to achieve highest win rate in tradingview trading community :) and we will definitely do that.
Trade Analysis Based On:
• A1000x Master Reversal Strategy
• A1000x Secret S/R Strategy
• Candlestick Patterns
• A1000x Stop Loss & Target Strategy
We trade using carefully developed strategies and disciplined market analysis, always seeking the best possible accuracy while remembering that ultimate success comes only by the will of Allah.
In some trades, you may notice a relatively larger stop loss or a risk-to-reward ratio that may appear unusual at first glance. However, every trade is taken with proper planning and calculated analysis, not random entries.
Before entering any position, we perform detailed calculations and market evaluation. Based on this analysis, we carefully determine our stop loss and target levels.
I personally apply one of my specialized stop-loss and target strategies, designed to place the stop loss at a logical market level where price is less likely to reach before moving toward the intended target — InshaAllah.
Trading always involves risk, but with discipline, patience, and proper strategy, we aim for consistent and responsible decision-making.
Feel free to share your thoughts, leave a comment, or contact me.
Bitcoin – Same Cycle, Same Trap?We’ve seen this exact structure before… and it’s unfolding again.
In the previous cycle, BTC didn’t just drop once…
It went through a 3-leg correction:
1️⃣ First strong drop
2️⃣ Relief bounce (fake hope)
3️⃣ Final drop → the real bottom
Fast forward to today…
📉 We already had the first drop
📈 Now we’re in the relief bounce (Step 2)
❗ And if history repeats… one more drop is still pending
What does this mean?
This current move up might look bullish…
But structurally, it could just be a temporary correction
➡️ Not a reversal
➡️ Not a new cycle
➡️ Just part of the same pattern
The real opportunity usually comes after that final flush.
👉 Will BTC complete the 3rd drop… or break the pattern this time? 🤔
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
SPY Bottom Been Touched… or Is This Just a Dead Cat Bounce?.
De-escalation headlines drove a sharp relief rally (futures still green), but no peace is signed, Iran demanding guarantees and oil remains elevated. Not a clean risk-on signal yet.
The market was heavily oversold, so the bounce makes sense. Still, I’m focused on structure: we still have unfilled imbalances around the 600 & 570 areas, plus a massive liquidity pool sitting near 500. Plenty of orders resting there waiting to be executed.
For now, we’re staying mostly in cash and in observation mode, watching how the next pullback behaves. If buyers defend key levels early, that’s real strength. If we sweep deeper into those liquidity zones, uncertainty is still being repriced.
Key catalysts this week: ADP today, Payrolls Friday + Trump speech tonight.
Longer-term? I still see strong upside potential into year-end if geopolitics clears and momentum holds.
What’s your read, bottom in, or more work to do before sustained move higher?
Don't forget to Follow for weekly insights
NFA
BTC – Mapping the Cycle Bottom: Is 50K the Target?This analysis highlights where the potential bottom for this cycle could form.
Previously, BTC printed a bearish impulse of around 36%, followed by a second leg of approximately 38% a slight increase in momentum.
🔄Now, if BTC breaks below the current blue correction phase, and we follow the same logic of expanding impulses, the next move could reach around a 40% decline.
That projected move would bring price right into the lower bound of the falling red channel, aligning perfectly with the major 50K support zone.
A clean confluence between structure and measured moves.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Bitcoin Cycles: When Does the Real Bottom Form?Let me be clear from the start.
This is not about calling a bottom today.
It’s about comparing this cycle to the previous ones.
📉 Structurally, Bitcoin is still trading below the key moving average.
As long as that MA is not reclaimed, the trend remains corrective.
Momentum confirms this view.
The MACD has flipped bearish, which historically marks the shift from expansion into a correction phase.
Looking back at previous cycles, the real bottom usually forms only when two things happen:
• MACD flips back bullish
• Price reclaims the moving average
Until then, even strong bounces tend to remain part of the corrective regime.
🧠 Zooming out, Bitcoin typically corrects into major historical support before the next expansion begins.
On this chart, that zone stands out clearly.
The 55k–65k area aligns with:
• Previous cycle resistance turned support
• Strong historical demand
• The lower boundary of the long-term rising structure
If history rhymes again, this is where we would expect momentum to stabilize and the trend to gradually flip back bullish.
⏳ Timing-wise, previous cycles suggest this process takes time.
That points toward late 2026 => around October and beyond.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
BTC: Bitcoin’s 4-Year Reset Cycle - Is the Next Bottom Oct 2026?This chart plots Bitcoin’s percentage drawdown from the previous all-time high and overlays fixed cycle intervals based on the historical spacing between major market bottoms.
Two consistent behaviors appear across multiple cycles:
1. Final Drawdown Phase
Near the end of each cycle window (the end of the green arc), Bitcoin tends to enter its most aggressive drawdown phase.
2. Cycle Reset Point
The lowest point of each drawdown consistently occurs near the vertical green boundary line, marking the transition into the next cycle.
The spacing between these events is roughly 3.5–4 years, forming a repeating cycle structure.
Projecting this timing forward places the next potential cycle reset window around October 2026 if the pattern continues.
Where is Bitcoin (BTC) real bottom?During the 2021 to 2022 cycle, BTC built a very clear structural sequence on the weekly chart. We had the major top at A, followed by a correction to B, then a failed continuation attempt at C. From there, the market transitioned into a broader downtrend with D, E, F, and finally the cycle bottom at G. After that bottom, price still produced a pullback toward H before consolidating and starting a new bullish cycle.
What stands out now is the structural similarity with the 2024 to 2026 movement. We formed A at the recent top, corrected to B, attempted continuation at C, failed, lost strength into D, reacted into E, and are now accelerating lower into F.
If structural symmetry continues, the logical next step would be a move toward G again, meaning a renewal of the current low. Historically, the first major support test rarely ends a correction. The market tends to sweep the low, generate liquidity below it, and only then build a stronger base.
The 50,000 to 40,000 USD region stands out as the most attractive long term buying zone if this scenario unfolds. Structurally, that range aligns with prior support, liquidity concentration, and projected symmetry with the previous cycle’s final leg down.
In terms of timing, the most probable window for this correction to end lies between August and November this year. That is also the period where price is most likely to reach the 50k to 40k region, potentially creating the best asymmetric buying opportunity of the cycle from both a structural and temporal perspective.
$SUI: high probability bottom around $0.56CRYPTOCAP:SUI on the 1W timeframe shows a clear bottom around $0.56.
If price breaks and accepts below this level, the structure is invalidated and it’s better to move on to another coin. However, I expect a strong reaction and potential reversal from this zone.
Explanation:
The **10/10/2025 crash on Binance effectively wiped out most of the liquidity. This type of capitulation event helps define a true bottom, as weak hands are flushed and remaining supply is concentrated among insiders and VCs. If price falls below that level, it signals a serious loss of structural support and weak long-term confidence.
Market makers typically defend these key liquidity zones, so holding this level would confirm strength. Losing it would invalidate the thesis.
DYOR
ETH Down 65% — Capitulation Bottom or One Final Flush?Is the Worst Behind Us?
Over the last 180 days, ETH dropped from $4,956 to $1,744! A clean -65% correction.
We saw liquidation cascades, forced selling, and broad weakness across crypto.
So now the real question:
Is this the bottom or is the market preparing another leg down into deeper lows?
Let’s walk through it.
Where We Are Structurally
Price retraced deep into the 0.786 and 0.886 Fibonacci levels of the move from $1,384 → $4,956.
That’s a serious reversal zone.
We got a sharp reaction from $1,752 which technically was a very solid first long entry.
However, from an Elliott Wave perspective, there’s still a chance that a 5th wave down hasn’t fully completed yet.
That doesn’t mean we crash.
It just means we stay patient and strategic.
Long Setup Plan
Scenario 1 — Strength From Here
If ETH:
Holds above $1,750
Reclaims short-term structure
Breaks recent lower highs
Then a move toward $2,500–$2,600 becomes realistic.
Scenario 2 — One More Flush (Preferred)
Personally, I wouldn’t mind seeing one more push lower into:
$1,840 → $1,500 zone
Why that area?
Because it lines up with:
Anchored VWAP cluster around $1,560–$1,450
Liquidity resting
Psychological capitulation level
That’s where I’d ladder into positions (DCA), keeping size for volatility spikes.
Take profit target:
$2,500–$2,750
Depending on entries, that’s roughly 40–60% upside.
Resistance Area to Watch
Major friction sits between:
$2,623 prior swing low
Golden Pocket
Anchored VWAP resistance
POC
Imbalance
That $2,500–$2,750 area won’t break easily on first attempt.
Expect reaction there.
Quick Educational Insight
Deep retracements like 0.786 and 0.886 often mark:
Final liquidation sweeps
Emotional exhaustion
Late short entries
Most retail traders focus on shallow pullbacks.
But deeper retracements are where risk-reward becomes interesting if structure confirms.
The key isn’t guessing the bottom.
It’s building a plan before momentum shifts.
Bitcoin Context
Bitcoin looks structurally similar.
If BTC puts in one more downside push, it would likely align with ETH completing a final 5th wave as well.
Correlation matters here.
Big Picture
We’re no longer in the “easy short” environment.
We’re entering the “prepare for shift” phase.
This isn’t about catching knives.
It’s about:
Planning entries
Defining invalidation
Scaling responsibly
Letting structure confirm
The worst panic phase may be behind us.
Now we watch for transition.
_________________________________
💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment!
Where Will Bitcoin Bottom in 2026?If you compare this cycle to the previous one, the structure is almost identical.
Both cycles followed the same sequence:
• Higher high
• Structural break
• Weekly low reaction
• Extended range
In the previous cycle, Bitcoin didn’t bottom immediately after the breakdown.
It ranged for roughly 54 weekly bars before forming the final low.
Now look at the current structure.🔄
We are again inside a wide range.
Momentum is fading.
Volatility is compressing.
If this cycle continues to rhyme with the last one, the projected bottom would likely form:
📍 Around 50k – 55k
📅 Around mid-October 2026
Now the question is:
Are we preparing for another flush…
or quietly entering the bottoming cycle?
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Bandhan Bank - first major trend reversal! Upside to ₹215–230Thesis:
Bandhan Bank has broken out above the ₹185 zone after constructing a multi-month rounded base between ₹130 and ₹185. This marks the first major structural reversal after a multi-year downtrend. The breakout is backed by above-average volume and positive momentum.
Technical Structure:
Breakout Level: ₹180
Current Price: ₹189.64
Volume Surge: 11.4M (above 20-day average)
RSI (14): 67.5 — trending strong, near breakout zone
Targets:
₹215 ( 13.8% upside ) — measured move of near-term range
₹259 ( 25% upside ) — major horizontal resistance from 2022
Disclaimer:
Not a recommendation. For educational use only. Position already held from earlier. This post reflects personal strategy execution in a structured portfolio.






















