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Possible BTC scenario if drop below minor trendline

BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
Here a possible scenario if $BTC drops below the minor trendline. I don't expect it to cross the lower major trendline, so in this case a drop down to 10.5k could be expected.
* An alternative possibility could be a) a more sideways movement, towards the lower major trendline or b) even without crossing the minor trendline (maybe a bit a too optimistic assumption in my opinion), before crossing definitely 20k.

1) dip sometimes soon down to about 10.5k with fast recovery to about 12.5k - 13k
2) temporary recovery to about 14.5k
3) another dip to about 12k, sticking to the lower major trendline
4) - 6) slowly recovering to 20k, before crossing it definitely and heading off to next aim at about 30k - 35k

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