TheMice

More "wait and see" (cautionary short term long)

Long
TheMice Updated   
COINBASE:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
"Wait and see" seems to be such common advice. Sometimes that is probably right, sometimes maybe not.

This, though, definitely feels like a wait and see moment:
- Firstly, the MACD cross, which usually precedes a pretty strong bull run.
- To counter that, there is a bearish divergence emerging on the daily MACD and RSI.
- Price is also now encountering a triple resistance zone from the 50k band plus the daily 200 EMA and also the current downtrend resistance line.
- If it breaks these it has another strong resistance at the 53k area.

That's 4:1 to the bears over the bulls. The red path looks most likely, with the orange path the next most likely.

However, I am backing the MACD daily cross and expecting the green line to play out. Maybe that is why I am so poor; unlike the rest of you rich, wise and clearly very handsome folk.

If the green does plays out, expect a stronger bearish divergence to develop, which will play out after this rally.

Obviously, not going to trade this until we get some confirmation. Just gonna...

wait and see.
Comment:
My mistake. That is not a bearish divergence; that is a hidden bullish divergence.

Good job nobody reads these or I'd have to delete and re-post to save face.

That evens it a little and makes the green path a touch more likely, I guess.
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