p3nchan

Bitcoin Price Action and Data Analysis: A Trading Overview

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p3nchan Updated   
OKX:BTCUSDT.P   BTCUSDT Perpetual Swap Contract
In the realm of Bitcoin (BTC) trading, it is vital to pay close attention to both price action and data analysis in order to formulate effective strategies. Here's a brief overview of some key elements I have noticed in recent trading patterns.

Firstly, concerning BTC price action analysis, a notable event is the sweeping of the monthly high. This means that BTC's price has not only touched but exceeded the highest point it has reached within this month. While this can be a bullish indicator, it's also worth noting that there's a monthly level resistance, another critical factor to consider. Monthly resistance is a level where sellers tend to enter the market in larger numbers, pushing the price down.

With just 24 hours left until the U.S. stock market opens on Monday, it would be wise to take a pause. Rather than rushing into a decision, I will wait until Tuesday, after the formation of Monday's high and low points. This way, I can devise subsequent strategies based on more concrete data.

Switching focus to BTC data analysis, several observations are worth discussing. To begin with, early positioning at the bottom has been squared off. This essentially means that traders who had opened positions expecting the price to drop further have now closed their positions.

Moreover, Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD), a technical indicator used to show the difference between the Buy and Sell volume, has not been able to keep up with the recent local highs. This could potentially signal a lack of buying pressure in the market. (Check in updated ideas)

A slight increase in the long-short ratio is observed, indicating a modest growth in the number of long positions compared to short ones. However, it's crucial to acknowledge the multiple large-scale short squeezes that have happened, where the price of BTC rises sharply forcing short sellers to close their positions.

These factors, coupled with recent market conditions, are fostering a bias towards the bearish side. However, it's crucial to remember that market sentiment can quickly shift. While these factors can guide strategic decisions, they should not be the sole basis for making trades. Always conduct thorough research and maintain a comprehensive understanding of the market's volatility.
Comment:
Upon examining the recent four-hour chart, I observed a sweep, commonly referred to as a stop hunt, at the recent low point. Consequently, I've decided to close my position for security purposes. I plan to revisit my strategy either with the opening of the US stock market or at the beginning of Tuesday.

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