Kumowizard

Bund - Bears, Relax! Pull back to 152?

Long
FX:BUND   Euro-Bund
5
What a collapse! Of course I closed my previous short too early, but never mind, on such a volatile mkt like Bund is recently, it is hard to call bottoms and these kind of profits in 2-3 days are still quite good.

Watch out now! Bund reached important resistance on weekly. We will likle ysee some pull back up to bearish supports. I opened some counter trend long

Weekly:
- Extreme selloff pushed Ichimoku setup to neutral from bullish. We have a weak bearish Tenkan/Kijun cross. Neutral setup will remain for a while, as Price will likely stay and do more choppy trading in the thick kumo ahead.
- Price is also below 100 WMA! Heikin Ashi signal is bearish, but haDelta once more reached and extreme low. I doubt we can see such a long body bearish candle soon again. More likely we'll see some pull back, similar to the one that happened three weeks ago.

Daily:
- Some says "Never catch a falling knife". I agree, unless you see some signals that the knife might not fall further. Even then be cautious, trade only 1/3 or max 1/2 trade unit size, because you trade against the major trend, and also due to extremely increased volatility.
- Ichimoku setup is heavy bearish, with trend supports at 152 (Kijun) / 153 (Trendline) / 154 (Kumo). Price has built a steep bearish trend channel, and seem it has reached a possible interim bottom within this channel.
- Heikin Ashi signals decreasing bearish momentum. Inside body candle with no lower low, and as I write this post now with even a higher wick! haDelta/SMA3 slowly ticking higher with positive divergence.

Retracement to 152 +/- is possible. There probably we'll have to look for new sell signals again.

I opened 0,5 trade unit long at 149,35 today. Maybe I will add 0,5 more if I see confirming Heikin Ashi candle signal.
Once again, be wise with position sizing and with stop when you trade this beast, espec. if you trade long!


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