Kumowizard

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About me I have been trading for more than 15 years (8 years as a professional interbank trader for bank treasuries.) I have always had a technical focus. I use Ichimoku Kinko Hyo as my main tool. I am a full time trader, a private investor.
Joined Kumowizard
Enough is enough, less is more, simplicity is best!
Markets Allocation
39 % forex 13 % commodities 3 % indices 45 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
SPX 10% | 156 USOIL 7% | 119 XAUUSD 7% | 115 EURUSD 6% | 102
Kumowizard Kumowizard EURUSD, 1D,
EURUSD: Time for consolidation?
117 0 7
EURUSD, 1D
Time for consolidation?

Weekly: (-) Ichimoku setup scaled back to neutral: price is below Tenkan and Kijun, we have a weak bearish T/K cross, Kumo cloud shades price ahead, Chikou Span down to past candles (-) Weekly Heikin-Ashi candle is bearish (+) haDelta+ and haOscillator suggest bearish momentum may slow down as price is reaching 1,1678 (100wma and spot Kumo top) - 1,1770 (forward ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard NAS100, 1D, Short ,
NAS100: Head and Shoulders?
142 1 4
NAS100, 1D Short
Head and Shoulders?

- Ichimoku setup is bullish, but price got too quickly too far above Kijun Sen (a bit overbought) - Heikin-Ashi signals a pause and a possible local top (Not yet bearish) Warning signals: - If market is unable to gain more momentum and recapture 7000+, then it will likely set up a major Head and Shoulders pattern. After so many years of strong bullish run, this ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard EURHUF, 1D, Short ,
EURHUF: H&S with 311 neckline?
58 0 1
EURHUF, 1D Short
H&S with 311 neckline?

- Ichimoku setup has minor bullish bias, but - Heikin-Ashi quantification tools (haDelta+ and haOscillator) signal possible momentum weakness and reversal at 313 key level - If price cannot break above 313,50, it may develop a Head and Shoulders pattern -> neckline and also Kumo supp/res is at 311,05 - In case of a sell signal and a 311 brealdown confirmation, ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard SPX500, 240, Short ,
SPX500: 4H template setup is bearish
205 1 9
SPX500, 240 Short
4H template setup is bearish

Watch momentum reversal indication (by haDelta+ and haOscillator), and Heikin-Ashi sell signal at 2660-2675 bearish support area.

Kumowizard Kumowizard XAUUSD, W, Long ,
XAUUSD: Accumulate more gold on dips
305 0 13
XAUUSD, W Long
Accumulate more gold on dips

Weekly: - Bullish Ichimoku setup. Chikou Span enters open space (confirmation) - After multi weeks bullish consolidation, Heikin-Ashi candle and indicators give a buy signal - EWO is positive Daily: - Ichimoku setup is picking up bullish bias. Price is above Kijun. - EWO turns bullish. Use dips to load more long positions. If makes a higher and closes above ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard DJI, D, Short ,
DJI: DJIA - The weakest chain
261 1 6
DJI, D Short
DJIA - The weakest chain

- DJIA is the weakes index compared to ES and NQ. Price is still trading below equilibrium. - Price pattern: possible bearish flag. If breaks down, initial bearish target will be 23k. - Momentum weakness detected in haDelta+ and haOscillator. Both seem to be turning down again at/below their mid lines. - EWO is below zero (bearish bias is still valid)

Kumowizard Kumowizard SPX500, D, Short ,
SPX500: From damage to Head and Shoulders?
179 1 5
SPX500, D Short
From damage to Head and Shoulders?

- Ichimoku setup is neutral, price is at Kumo cloud. Equilibrium level is clear at 2703 - After the pull back from the first damage, market may be developing a Head and Shoulders pattern. If it gets validation below 2700, market would become bearish again. - Bulls have no real hope as market misses momentum: see negative divergence in haDelta+ and ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard EURNOK, D, Long ,
EURNOK: Buy some EURNOK
100 2 1
EURNOK, D Long
Buy some EURNOK

- Price is in neutral territory. Below Kijun and slightly below Kumo, but could not deliver a decisive bearish break. - Bullish trendline holds - Heikin-Ashi signals indecision and drop of minor bearish momentum, haDelta+ and haOscillator show some positive divergence compared to lower low in price. - Key levels: 9,66 and 9,7020 We opened small long this ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard DBA, 1D, Long ,
DBA: Bullish breakout
133 0 5
DBA, 1D Long
Bullish breakout

It looks like Bulls finally gain power. - Initial bullish Kumo breakout. (To confirm it has to make a higher high and Chikou cross above past Kumo) - Breakout from major bullish wedge - Hekin-Ashi gives a buy signal We'll wait for today close and if momentum holds, we start to leverage our long position.

Kumowizard Kumowizard SPX500, D,
SPX500: Going vertical - notes about a maniac market #SPX $ES
220 0 7
SPX500, D
Going vertical - notes about a maniac market #SPX $ES

Weekly: - History's strongest bull trend, 14 months in a row without a negative close. Price is going vertical. Mania phase. - Momentum has been so strong (probably the most extreme EWO high I've ever seen), that all major weekly averages are picking up quickly. Still Price is extremely far above the equilibrium marked by Kijun Sen (26 weeks average) and Senkou B ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard EUSTX50, D, Short ,
EUSTX50: The trend *was* your friend
77 0 4
EUSTX50, D Short
The trend *was* your friend

- Bullish trend is broken - Ichimoku setup is bearish, EWO and MACD are bearish - HaOscilator suggests there may be some chance for a minor bounce. Chikou Span also hit past Kumo bottom, which means around 3480 there is some resistance. Any retest to 3520-3560 zone is an opportunity to look for a short entry.

Kumowizard Kumowizard EURUSD, D, Long ,
EURUSD: Buy signal from Kijun support
107 0 7
EURUSD, D Long
Buy signal from Kijun support

- Ichimoku is turning bullish again after price held above Kijun Sen support. - possible Heikin-Ashi buy signal - possible inverse H&S - Needs some momentum confirmation

Kumowizard Kumowizard SPX500, D,
SPX500: Bull market with questionmarks
110 0 3
SPX500, D
Bull market with questionmarks

No doubt, SP500 index is very bullish on all time frames. But there's another question: does it worth buying or holding stocks now? If I look deeper into the Daily chart, I have doubts. - Ichimoku is bullish - Heikin-Ashi candles are bullish, but haDelta+ and haOscillator give worning siognal regarding momentum - MACD has built quite a relevant negative ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard EUSTX50, D, Short ,
EUSTX50: Weakness - Bulls are not strong enough
79 4 5
EUSTX50, D Short
Weakness - Bulls are not strong enough

- Ichimoku is back to neutral. Price trades in thick Kumo. Warning: Senkou span cross (bearish Kumo twist) 26 weeks ahead! - Heikin-Ashi shows mixed price action, indecision, consolidation. Warning: haDelta+ and haOscillator may give sell signals. - MACD shows weakness - EWO is bearish I think bulls cannot have much hope on this market now.

Kumowizard Kumowizard EURUSD, D, Long ,
EURUSD: Back top bullish
128 1 9
EURUSD, D Long
Back top bullish

Bullish momentum is picking up. Price is breaking above the cloud. All indicators point towards further gains. Any dip below 1,19 is a buying opportunity. Next target (by weekly time frame) is around 1,24 - 1,25 zone.

Kumowizard Kumowizard XAUUSD, W, Long ,
XAUUSD: #Gold - positive signals
293 2 7
XAUUSD, W Long
#Gold - positive signals

Weekly: - Ichimoku has bullish bias. - Heikin-Ashi gives an early bullish signal. Please see haDelta+ and haOscillator - closing price may be close to the weekly top. - EWO is positive Daily: - Ichimoku setup is back to neutral. Positive signal: price is above Kijun Sen and hit a new high today. Still some work to do for bulls to break above Kumo cloud. - EWO is ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard USOIL, D, Long ,
USOIL: Daily trend is still bullish. We look for buy signals only.
335 1 11
USOIL, D Long
Daily trend is still bullish. We look for buy signals only.

- Trend and Ichimoku setup is still bullish - MACD shows consolidation - EWO is above zero (green) - Heikin-Ashi signal is still swing bearish, but it's time to watch price action and change in momentum as Price reached key support zone. Since the trend is still bullish, we only look for buy signals. We do not play any short strategies until the basic setup ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard IT10Y, W, Short ,
IT10Y: I love Italy, it's just their 10y bond I hate. (Short #BTP)
74 2 4
IT10Y, W Short
I love Italy, it's just their 10y bond I hate. (Short #BTP)

Short BTP. It is just question of time to finish the "flag denial" on weekly. Should the 2,25 - 2,35 % yield zone break, BTP mkt would be slaughtered. Look at the upside on the yield chart, and you will understand how bearish it can go: measured target would be around 3,80 %. Again, burn it into your mind: bond markets are in danger rather than ...

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