Kumowizard

PRO
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About me I have been trading for more than 15 years (8 years as a professional interbank trader for bank treasuries.) I have always had a technical focus. I use Ichimoku Kinko Hyo as my main tool. I am a full time trader, a private investor.
Joined Kumowizard
Enough is enough, less is more, simplicity is best!
Markets Allocation
39 % forex 13 % commodities 3 % indices 45 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
SPX 10% | 153 USOIL 7% | 117 XAUUSD 7% | 114 EURUSD 6% | 102
Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO SPX500, D,
SPX500: Bull market with questionmarks
98 0 3
SPX500, D
Bull market with questionmarks

No doubt, SP500 index is very bullish on all time frames. But there's another question: does it worth buying or holding stocks now? If I look deeper into the Daily chart, I have doubts. - Ichimoku is bullish - Heikin-Ashi candles are bullish, but haDelta+ and haOscillator give worning siognal regarding momentum - MACD has built quite a relevant negative ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO EUSTX50, D, Short ,
EUSTX50: Weakness - Bulls are not strong enough
58 4 5
EUSTX50, D Short
Weakness - Bulls are not strong enough

- Ichimoku is back to neutral. Price trades in thick Kumo. Warning: Senkou span cross (bearish Kumo twist) 26 weeks ahead! - Heikin-Ashi shows mixed price action, indecision, consolidation. Warning: haDelta+ and haOscillator may give sell signals. - MACD shows weakness - EWO is bearish I think bulls cannot have much hope on this market now.

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO EURUSD, D, Long ,
EURUSD: Back top bullish
110 1 9
EURUSD, D Long
Back top bullish

Bullish momentum is picking up. Price is breaking above the cloud. All indicators point towards further gains. Any dip below 1,19 is a buying opportunity. Next target (by weekly time frame) is around 1,24 - 1,25 zone.

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO XAUUSD, W, Long ,
XAUUSD: #Gold - positive signals
283 2 7
XAUUSD, W Long
#Gold - positive signals

Weekly: - Ichimoku has bullish bias. - Heikin-Ashi gives an early bullish signal. Please see haDelta+ and haOscillator - closing price may be close to the weekly top. - EWO is positive Daily: - Ichimoku setup is back to neutral. Positive signal: price is above Kijun Sen and hit a new high today. Still some work to do for bulls to break above Kumo cloud. - EWO is ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO USOIL, D, Long ,
USOIL: Daily trend is still bullish. We look for buy signals only.
322 1 11
USOIL, D Long
Daily trend is still bullish. We look for buy signals only.

- Trend and Ichimoku setup is still bullish - MACD shows consolidation - EWO is above zero (green) - Heikin-Ashi signal is still swing bearish, but it's time to watch price action and change in momentum as Price reached key support zone. Since the trend is still bullish, we only look for buy signals. We do not play any short strategies until the basic setup ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO IT10Y, W, Short ,
IT10Y: I love Italy, it's just their 10y bond I hate. (Short #BTP)
57 2 4
IT10Y, W Short
I love Italy, it's just their 10y bond I hate. (Short #BTP)

Short BTP. It is just question of time to finish the "flag denial" on weekly. Should the 2,25 - 2,35 % yield zone break, BTP mkt would be slaughtered. Look at the upside on the yield chart, and you will understand how bearish it can go: measured target would be around 3,80 %. Again, burn it into your mind: bond markets are in danger rather than ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO ZF1!, D, Short ,
ZF1!: What you've seen so far was just a warm up!
39 0 3
ZF1!, D Short
What you've seen so far was just a warm up!

US Bond market in general is about to turn terribly bearish. Trade only strategic weekly charts. Any retest in 5y Treasury to 118 is a selling opportunity. Keep this in mind and you'll likely make a lot of money (if you also have a proper risk management system in place). Always short what is bearish. Bonds are just about to enter bearish trends. Monetary policy ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO UK10YBGBP, W, Short ,
UK10YBGBP: Optimal sell at 126.40, a "must" sell below 124.
18 0 5
UK10YBGBP, W Short
Optimal sell at 126.40, a "must" sell below 124.

The title and the weekly chart itself tell the whole story. I really hope for a bounce to 126.40, would be more comfortable to take this short there. But as this is probably one of the best trades for the long term supported by fundamentals too, I would not mind to sell the weekly break below 124 either.

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO SPX500, D,
SPX500: It's "expensive", but no reason to be bearish. Maybe wise to TP
113 0 5
SPX500, D
It's "expensive", but no reason to be bearish. Maybe wise to TP

This setup is light-years far from a bearish setup. Actually if you check the Monthly chart as well, it is even more obvious. No reason to short this market in big. The only wise thing is to reduce longs, or take some cover, as momentum indicators suggest it may start some consolidation and/or a minor pull back in coming days/weeks. Weekly: - Everything is ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO XAUUSD, D, Long ,
XAUUSD: Not so rosy, but short term bears hit the wall
220 1 12
XAUUSD, D Long
Not so rosy, but short term bears hit the wall

Daily: - Ichimoku is neutral with some bearish bias - Heikin-Ashi is bearish, but watch out for bullish divergence in haOscillator - EWO is bearish - Price reached Kumo and retested previous downtrend line. -> stronger resistance here around 1270 4H: - Bearish Ichimoku - Heikin-Ashi gives early signal for a possible local bottom - Price reached resistance zone. - ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO EEM, D, Short ,
EEM: Watch px action and get ready for short if fails at 45 key level
73 0 6
EEM, D Short
Watch px action and get ready for short if fails at 45 key level

If EEM failes to recapture bullish trend above 45, then it will suffer serious damage. Also if USD gets stronger (I think this is quite likely), that could put more pressure on Emerging Markets. Watch price action here. Keep your eyes on haDelta+ and haOscillator! These will tell you first if bulls can't gain momentum. Wait for confirmation and get ready for short.

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO BND, D, Short ,
BND: Start of a major bear move - Short whole US Bond market!
122 0 5
BND, D Short
Start of a major bear move - Short whole US Bond market!

No doubt, we see a high cance for a bearish break here. The total bond market already shows weakness, multiple signals tell me to get out of all fixed income, or even start to short it! - Trend break - Senkou lines are about delivering a bearish cross 26 days ahead (Bearish Kumo Twist) - Price could not recapture Kijun Sen. - Obvious Heikin-Ashi sell signal. - ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO EURHUF, D, Short ,
EURHUF: Take profit on longs, buy lower again
64 6 4
EURHUF, D Short
Take profit on longs, buy lower again

- Ichimoku is bullish, but price got a bit far above equilibrium level (distance from Kijun Sen) - Heikin-Ashi candle is bullish, but watch out for haDelta+ and haOscillator: both cross down and both shows negative momentum divergence - Price is also at trendline resistance, and weekly Kumo resistance. If you check, weekly haOscillator, also looks topish. - ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO EURUSD, D, Short ,
EURUSD: Observation at first supp/res level. Short, but not here.
205 0 11
EURUSD, D Short
Observation at first supp/res level. Short, but not here.

EURUSD has lost all of its bullish momentum. The divergence signals were pretty clear around 1,1950-1,2050. However the main question is what are the odds now? - Ichimoku is changing to neutral with minor bearish bias: weak bearish Tenkan/Kijun cross above Kumo, Price is below Tenkan and Kijun, and Chikou is about to cross past candles. - Price is reaching top of ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO NAS100, W, Short ,
NAS100: Momentum trouble
137 1 19
NAS100, W Short
Momentum trouble

Too many warning signals to ignore! 1. Massive bearish divergence has been built in: haDelta+, haOscillator, EWO and MACD 2. Heikin-Ashi signals momentum loss and a possible local top: candle body shrinks with quantification tools (haDelta+ and haOscillator) crossing down. 3. Key level to watch is 5881: weekly Tenkan Sen, but if you check, you see that is also ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO XAUUSD, W, Long ,
XAUUSD: Long term remains bullish
202 0 16
XAUUSD, W Long
Long term remains bullish

If you get confused by daily or lower time frames, always switch to a higher, like weekly. - Ichimoku trendfollowing stup is strategic bullish. - Heikin-Ashi already signalled a possible local top a week ago. Now it is in pull back, but it is *not* a bearish signals until weekly haDelta+ and haOscillator are above their mid lines. - EWO is strategic bullish. - ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO USOIL, W, Long ,
USOIL: Don't be bearish when there's a bullish break attempt!
131 1 15
USOIL, W Long
Don't be bearish when there's a bullish break attempt!

Weekly setup in WTI has improved: - Heikin-Ashi signal is bullish. haDelta+ and haOscillatos bullish cross confirms momentum strength - Ichimoku is neutral with bullish bias (medium strong Tenkan/Kijun cross in Kumo), and price attempts a bullish Kumo breakout. However for a sustained bullish breakout we'd need more confirmation in next few weeks. Next upper key ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO USDHUF, D, Long ,
USDHUF: If flat Tenkan and Kijun holds, then tgt 270
66 0 9
USDHUF, D Long
If flat Tenkan and Kijun holds, then tgt 270

Well done NBH! Well done! The whole world is about to tighten somehow, but they pushed effective front end rate even lower to -0,15 % yesterday. Still, intraday EURHUF dipped almost 1 % from highs. :-D (Sell the news). But as we have FED on stage today, we should rather focus at USDHUF. The 1 year positive carry for long is around 1,75 % now! Immagine how it would ...

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