Kumowizard

PRO
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About me I have been trading for more than 15 years (8 years as a professional interbank trader for bank treasuries.) I have always had a technical focus. I use Ichimoku Kinko Hyo as my main tool. I am a full time trader, a private investor.
Joined Kumowizard
Enough is enough, less is more, simplicity is best!
Markets Allocation
40 % forex 13 % commodities 3 % indices 44 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
SPX 10% | 146 USOIL 7% | 110 XAUUSD 7% | 109 EURUSD 7% | 102
Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO SPX500, D, Short ,
SPX500: Still in the wedge, swing bearish only below 2435
85 0 9
SPX500, D Short
Still in the wedge, swing bearish only below 2435

Daily: - Bullish setup, price is still win the possible bearish wedge - Heikin-Ashi is bullish, but haOscillator is a question 4H: - Bullish setup with some possible pull back now signalled by Heikin-Ashi As you see, this market will be swing bearish only below 2435, where we have daily Tenkan Sen, Wedge and 4H Kumo,100WMA supports. Based on daily setup, real ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO EUSTX50/SPX500, W, Long ,
EUSTX50/SPX500: STOXX50/SPX spread at weekly support
60 0 7
EUSTX50/SPX500, W Long
STOXX50/SPX spread at weekly support

I prefer buying Eurostoxx50 vs short SPX. - Ichimoku setup is bullish. Chikou is at support, forward Kumo is bullish - Weekly candle body shrinks at Kijun support - haDelta+ and haOscillator turn higher from their lows - EWO is positive. MACD shows bullish consolidation

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO SPX500, D, Short ,
SPX500: The never ending trend... and the obvious weaknesses in momentum
189 0 13
SPX500, D Short
The never ending trend... and the obvious weaknesses in momentum

This Bull machine is really running out of steam! Be careful. While the super trend is intact, there are multiple signals of possible weakness and a major pull back ahead! Weekly: - Bullish trend and Ichimoku - Changes: Weekly Kijun is massively up to 2339,25. Monthly Kijun (major bull/bear market border line) is also up to 2130 - Heikin-Ashi signals a possible ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO USOIL, 240, Long ,
USOIL: WTI Reaches key level - Watch for long setup (no signal yet)
174 1 12
USOIL, 240 Long
WTI Reaches key level - Watch for long setup (no signal yet)

Daily: - Bearish Ichimoku setup - Bearish Heikin-Ashi - Possible resistance at major uptrendline and bottom of short term bearish channel Watch Price action here in coming days! 4H: - Bearish Ichimoku - Indecision in Heikin-Ashi, maybe a local bottom - Key supp. levels to watch for a break and reversal to open a swing long trade: 45,55 and 46,30 - Also start to ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO XAUUSD, D,
XAUUSD: Don't bury it yet just because of some pull back
431 5 21
XAUUSD, D
Don't bury it yet just because of some pull back

I always smile when some people cry wolf (cry Bear?) just because seomthing pulls back from a local top. Especially when it happens after a kind of bullish breakout. By Ichimoku trendfollowing definition this setup is early bullish, and nowhere close to bearish! By Heikin-Ashi price action it is a counter trend swing, a pull back. 1140-1150 is a good support ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO ZC1!, D, Long ,
ZC1!: Don't listen to intraday chatters - #Corn is for long
53 1 7
ZC1!, D Long
Don't listen to intraday chatters - #Corn is for long

Whatever people say I don't care. I only care the setup and probabilities, and that is Bullish! This means I use any dips to buy some more, until my trailing stop is hit. The thing is you must know what is the value level to buy, and what are your odds and your risk if you run a leveraged position.

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO BUND, D, Short ,
BUND: Bund may lose momentum at resistance - watch for short
53 0 12
BUND, D Short
Bund may lose momentum at resistance - watch for short

Watch Heikin-Ashi signal here. It can be a nice swing sell soon. No more comment for now.

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO EURUSD, 240, Short ,
EURUSD: Spot for swing short?
176 0 14
EURUSD, 240 Short
Spot for swing short?

It is funny that one of the highest yielding ccy of the world is still relatively weak. I don't think EUR vs USD rates spread justify this, I also believe that without shift or change in ECB policy it will be hard to push EURUSD much higher. For more bullish expansion ECB is the key. Technicals: Daily: - Bullish Ichimoku picture, but - Heikin-Ashi signals ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO SPX500, D, Short ,
SPX500: Problem with momentum. I don't believe in "sector rotation"
170 0 11
SPX500, D Short
Problem with momentum. I don't believe in "sector rotation"

While the daily chart is still bullish, I see lot of signals for a possible local top. Daily: - Bullish Ichimoku, but - weakness in Heikin-Ashi: signal of a top, loss of momentum - Possible bearish wedge - MACD signals start of consolidation 4H: - Trouble in the depth. Certainly Tech sector ($NQ) was hit the most on Fiday, but I doubt the "sector rotation" ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO NAS100, 240,
NAS100: $NQ update
98 0 10
NAS100, 240
$NQ update

This pull back may go deeper, but short term 6960-6980 is a resistance on the 4H (support on daily). If you consider playing a swing short, wait for 4H Kijun retest, and try to sell it around 5765-5785 zone. Also keep in mind, that daily setup is still bullish. I think a major top building has started (pls check weekly setup to see Heikin-Ashi signals there), ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO DE02Y, D, Long ,
DE02Y: #Schatz yield retests broken rendline (long reco means short 2y)
51 0 8
DE02Y, D Long
#Schatz yield retests broken rendline (long reco means short 2y)

Idiotism reloaded!? How long does this market believe in negative rates? Tick-tock... maybe sell this one in May, and not the stocks? Sooner or later ECB will change policy and normalize front end rates back to at least zero yield. Technicals: - Yield is back to minus 0,72-0,75 %. Retesting prev. broken downtrend line, 100wma and SenkouB level - Ichimoku setup ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO XAUUSD, D,
XAUUSD: The Golden channel
246 0 12
XAUUSD, D
The Golden channel

Gold bird view. - Ichimoku setup is neutral: Price is at the Kumo cloud, all long term averages are flat, forward Kumo is a thin flat line, Chikou Span is at past candles. - Heikin-Ashi signal has been bullish, but this week we saw some loss of momentum, but both haDelta+ and haOsillator are above their center lines - Price is stuck in a narrowing triangle, where ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO ZC1!, D,
ZC1!: Don't forget about this perfectly neutral chart!
80 12 12
ZC1!, D
Don't forget about this perfectly neutral chart!

These kind of tight consolidations lead to heavy breakouts and big moves... to be continued...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO SPX500, 240, Short ,
SPX500: If it really turns bearish, this is the zone to short
171 0 6
SPX500, 240 Short
If it really turns bearish, this is the zone to short

Daily: - Neutral, indecision - 2360 key level was deeply tested yesterday, but selling pressure will increase only if Chikou Span crosses below past candles 4H: - Back to bearish support at 2380 - EWO is still bearish. Watch Heikin-Ashi signal on lower time frame!

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO US02Y-DE02Y, D, Short ,
US02Y-DE02Y: This sell signal means: buy US2y vs sell Schatz
32 0 8
US02Y-DE02Y, D Short
This sell signal means: buy US2y vs sell Schatz

Buy the US/German 2y bond spread! Shd the Schatz yield itself retest the -0,72/-0,78 range again, then it will likely be an outright sell too! (pls see lower panel referring to German 2y yield)

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO USOIL, D,
USOIL: Not much clue, but I'd rather sell it around 50
105 0 9
USOIL, D
Not much clue, but I'd rather sell it around 50

Weekly: - Ichimoku neutral - Heikin-Asi neutral. Upswing in haDelta and haOscillator, but I have doubts they will be able to get back above their center lines - Price is retesting broken trendline and Kjun Sen (now a resistance) Daily: - Ichimoku still have a bearish bias - Price agressively siked back to retest Kijun and broken trendline. - haOscillator reached ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO EURCAD, W, Short ,
EURCAD: Get out of longs, buy later
72 0 8
EURCAD, W Short
Get out of longs, buy later

A local top is likely. It is not a very good risk/reward to hold longs any more. Get out, try to buy later if it retests to 1,46 +/- I marked warning signals with ellipses. - Price at weekly Kumo top. Heikin-Ashi shows loss of momentum - Price is far above Kijun both on weekly and daily time frames -> overbought condition - Momentum weakness shown in daily ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO EURUSD, D,
EURUSD: Breakout and momentum - question of time
230 2 11
EURUSD, D
Breakout and momentum - question of time

Weely: - Ichimoku is neutral, with price testing Kumo cloud top. - Price is still below the earish trendline, wedge top. - Weekly startegic key zone is clearly 1,0985-1,10. A close above would open space to 1,20. What are the chances for a breakout? - Longer term (within 3-5 months) I believe it will happen -> see Ichimoku structure (Tenkan/Kijun weak bullish ...

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