Kumowizard

PRO
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About me I have been trading for more than 15 years (8 years as a professional interbank trader for bank treasuries.) I have always had a technical focus. I use Ichimoku Kinko Hyo as my main tool. I am a full time trader, a private investor.
Joined Kumowizard
Enough is enough, less is more, simplicity is best!
Markets Allocation
40 % forex 13 % commodities 3 % indices 44 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
SPX 10% | 148 USOIL 7% | 113 XAUUSD 7% | 110 EURUSD 7% | 102
Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO EURAUD, W, Long ,
EURAUD: Tension in Asia - #EURAUD to blow?
152 1 13
EURAUD, W Long
Tension in Asia - #EURAUD to blow?

Weekly: - Ichimoku has increasing bullish bias. Price is about breaking above the Kumo cloud. Chikou Span is above past candles and points up. - Heikin-Ashi signal is bullish. Increasing momentum expected if haOscillator moves above its mid line. - Possible strategic bull flag. If that breaks, a measured move target would be 1,62+ -MACD still shows consolidation, ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO XAUUSD, D, Short ,
XAUUSD: A lower high after a lower low - #Gold may come under pressure
224 1 8
XAUUSD, D Short
A lower high after a lower low - #Gold may come under pressure

Gold may face further profit taking and short term selling pressure, unless bulls make a quick, decisive and sustainable break above 1275 key resistance (marked by major daily downtrendline). Daily: - While price is slightly above Kumo, the averages (Tenkan and Kijun) are still at/below the cloud. Forward Kumo also undecided, rather flat. - After a lower low, ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO USOIL, D,
USOIL: Perfectly neutral weekly, conflicting daily
84 0 4
USOIL, D
Perfectly neutral weekly, conflicting daily

Weekly: - Price is in the cloud. Tenkan and Kijun both flat and are in the cloud too. Forward Kumo (cloud 26 weeks ahead) is thin and flat. Chikou is at past candles, which means current price is not much different from what we had 26 weeks ago. -> Ichimoku setup is absolutely neutral. - Heikin-Ashi is losing its swing bullish bias: see how candle body shrinks, ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO BUND, D, Short ,
BUND: Consolidation, but short still has better risk/reward
59 0 6
BUND, D Short
Consolidation, but short still has better risk/reward

Nothing new. Just keep outright short positions, and your Fixed-Income portfolio hedged via Bund, Bobl and other bond futures short, or in some cases pro traders may consider paying IRS. This way you won't be shocked when the real bond selloff armegeddon happens. Or you will be shocked only by how much money you made :-)

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO USDCAD, D, Long ,
USDCAD: USDCAD update with 4H setup requirement
233 0 13
USDCAD, D Long
USDCAD update with 4H setup requirement

Daily: - Candle close still holds above key level. Despite massive USD hit yesterday, mkt coud not make a lower low today. - haOscillator above its central line shows same momentum divergence signal 4H: - First we need Ichimoku setup to change to neutral. This would happen if price could break and stay above Kijun Sen. A stabiliziation in/above the area marked ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO USDCAD, D, Long ,
USDCAD: Important momentum divergence at multi year key level
238 6 11
USDCAD, D Long
Important momentum divergence at multi year key level

This is a bonus chart, and a bonus trade recommendation :) - Ichimoku is bearish. But it is way too bearish, as Price got extremely far below Kijun Sen and Kumo. Should retrace a bit towards equilibrium levels. - Heikin-Ashi has a very interesting early signal: positive divergence in both haDelta+ and haOscillator. haOscillator is already above its central line. ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO EURCAD, W, Long ,
EURCAD: Why you should not fade EUR strength. Weekly crosses and a bonus
64 1 8
EURCAD, W Long
Why you should not fade EUR strength. Weekly crosses and a bonus

EURUSD: - Ichimoku is bullish. Maybe a bit extended as Price is far above Kijun. - Heikin-Ashi is bullish, but quantitative tools show some deterioration in momentum. Strategy: You may weight down (take some profit non) EURUSD longs, but it is defenately not a short play! EURGBP: - Ichimoku is bullish - Heikin-Ashi is bullish, with healthy momentum - Key support ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO SUGUSD, D,
SUGUSD: Something to watch
50 0 3
SUGUSD, D
Something to watch

- Ichimoku setup is bearish, as Price managed to climb back to Kumo, after testing very important long term horizontal key resistance at 12,55+. Now Price is located between Tenkan and Kijun lines (above Kijun), while Tenkna/Kijun is in weak bullish cross. - Heikin-Ashi turned bearish after test of Kumo and 100wma. - EWO is bullish. MACD is neutral - Upper key ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO ZF1!, D,
ZF1!: $ZF is not so bearish any more
42 1 3
ZF1!, D
$ZF is not so bearish any more

- Ichimoku setup is back to neutral. Average lines are flat. Weak bullish Tenkan/Kijun cross below price - Heikin-Ashi is swing bullish - EWO is back above zero (green territory) 5y Note market is not trending, it's neutral and sideaway at best. Maybe setup for range trading.

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO SPX500, D, Short ,
SPX500: A local top and the long term Kijun Sen lines
148 0 8
SPX500, D Short
A local top and the long term Kijun Sen lines

- Ichimoku setup is bullish on all time frames. However I have to note something and recommend to watch for both perma bears and perma bulls: long term Kijun Sen values. If someone is still not familiar with Ichimoku, Kijun Sen is a 26 period average, so in this case I am talking about the 26 weeks average, which moved higher again to 2372, and the 26 Months ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO NAS100, D, Short ,
NAS100: A local top by Heikin-Ashi
109 3 7
NAS100, D Short
A local top by Heikin-Ashi

We have a high probability local top signal. In case pull back starts, Nasdaq100 can retrace to 3750-3780 Ichimoku support zone. Cover longs! Get ready for a swing short!

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO USOIL, W,
USOIL: It's better reduce (or exit) swing longs
166 3 14
USOIL, W
It's better reduce (or exit) swing longs

Weekly: - Ichimoku is neutral - Price may go little higher, but 48,50 (Kijun) is quite a resistance above. - EWO is still bearish, MACD is weak Daily: - Ichimoku setup is back to neutral - Heikin-Ashi is still swing bullish, but we have some warning signals regarding momentum: see haDelta+ and haOscillator (possible momentum weakness in these quantification ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO USDJPY, 240, Short ,
USDJPY: 4H Swing sell signal
187 6 9
USDJPY, 240 Short
4H Swing sell signal

Daily: - Ichimoku has bullish bias, but price is bit far above equilibrium - Possible double top at 114+ resistance - Heikin-Ashi is swing bearish - MACD may cross down to indicatie forther pull back/consolidation 4H: - Ichimoku is drifting towards bearish setup -> see forward Kumo. After initial break and dip below Kijun (to the cloud) we had some reaction. ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO EURUSD, D, Short ,
EURUSD: Divergence on a bull market -> be careful now!
331 1 12
EURUSD, D Short
Divergence on a bull market -> be careful now!

While the Ichimoku setup is bullish, Bulls must be careful at this level, as there is increasing negative divergence in the indicators. Weekly: - Ichimoku has bullish bias, but price reached range top/horizontal resistance. We may see a pause here short term. Some conslidation or minor pull back is possible. Forward Kumo has bullish indication for the long term, ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO GBPAUD, D, Short ,
GBPAUD: Not my original idea, but I like it
84 0 6
GBPAUD, D Short
Not my original idea, but I like it

Thanks for Gary calling my attention to this pair (which otherwise I never follow on this cross, just as individuals against majors). Retracement seems to be over. We have an obvious Heikin-Ashi sell signal at Kijun Sen (in the Kumo). Let's see if it will be followed by an Ichimoku 101 textbook bearish Kumo breakout, which would be valid below the trendline and ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO USOIL, D, Long ,
USOIL: Waves, divergence, higher low, A-B-C ?
256 0 11
USOIL, D Long
Waves, divergence, higher low, A-B-C ?

For those who did not follow my 'Twitter only' post yesterday. - Ichimoku setup still has bearish bias, but the picture is a bit mixed, as we have a weak bullish Tenkan/Kijun cross, but Price is below these averages. - Heikin-Ashi signals loss of swing bearish momentum (see candle, haDelta+ and haOscillator). Market may be building a higher low. - I don't like ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO EUSTX50, D, Short ,
EUSTX50: Update:  optimal sell zone is 3505-3536
59 0 6
EUSTX50, D Short
Update: optimal sell zone is 3505-3536

Sell a little here, at prev Chikou resistance. If it spikes higher, use the move to sell in the zone between Tenkan and Kijun-Kumo-100WMA area. (Marked with parallel channel on the chart) Forward Kumo twisted -> Bearish Senkou Span cross. EWO and MACD are bearish.

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO BUND, D,
BUND: A pause in the triangle
81 0 11
BUND, D
A pause in the triangle

Heikin-Ashi shows some loss of short term bearish momentum at the spot Kumo. Some consolidation, or pull back towards Kijun Sen is possible. Since Tenkan/Kijun is turning medium bearish, we have to look for sell signals in 163,30-163,70 zone.

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