Kumowizard

PRO
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About me I have been trading for more than 15 years (8 years as a professional interbank trader for bank treasuries.) I have always had a technical focus. I use Ichimoku Kinko Hyo as my main tool. I am a full time trader, a private investor.
Joined Kumowizard
For more charts, ideas, thoughts and fun please follow me on Twitter too! @Kumowizard
Markets Allocation
40 % forex 13 % commodities 3 % indices 44 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
SPX 10% | 143 USOIL 7% | 109 XAUUSD 7% | 107 EURUSD 7% | 102
Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO ZC1!, D,
ZC1!: Don't forget about this perfectly neutral chart!
64 8 11
ZC1!, D
Don't forget about this perfectly neutral chart!

These kind of tight consolidations lead to heavy breakouts and big moves... to be continued...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO SPX500, 240, Short ,
SPX500: If it really turns bearish, this is the zone to short
159 0 6
SPX500, 240 Short
If it really turns bearish, this is the zone to short

Daily: - Neutral, indecision - 2360 key level was deeply tested yesterday, but selling pressure will increase only if Chikou Span crosses below past candles 4H: - Back to bearish support at 2380 - EWO is still bearish. Watch Heikin-Ashi signal on lower time frame!

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO US02Y-DE02Y, D, Short ,
US02Y-DE02Y: This sell signal means: buy US2y vs sell Schatz
32 0 8
US02Y-DE02Y, D Short
This sell signal means: buy US2y vs sell Schatz

Buy the US/German 2y bond spread! Shd the Schatz yield itself retest the -0,72/-0,78 range again, then it will likely be an outright sell too! (pls see lower panel referring to German 2y yield)

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO USOIL, D,
USOIL: Not much clue, but I'd rather sell it around 50
92 0 9
USOIL, D
Not much clue, but I'd rather sell it around 50

Weekly: - Ichimoku neutral - Heikin-Asi neutral. Upswing in haDelta and haOscillator, but I have doubts they will be able to get back above their center lines - Price is retesting broken trendline and Kjun Sen (now a resistance) Daily: - Ichimoku still have a bearish bias - Price agressively siked back to retest Kijun and broken trendline. - haOscillator reached ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO EURCAD, W, Short ,
EURCAD: Get out of longs, buy later
68 0 8
EURCAD, W Short
Get out of longs, buy later

A local top is likely. It is not a very good risk/reward to hold longs any more. Get out, try to buy later if it retests to 1,46 +/- I marked warning signals with ellipses. - Price at weekly Kumo top. Heikin-Ashi shows loss of momentum - Price is far above Kijun both on weekly and daily time frames -> overbought condition - Momentum weakness shown in daily ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO EURUSD, D,
EURUSD: Breakout and momentum - question of time
222 2 10
EURUSD, D
Breakout and momentum - question of time

Weely: - Ichimoku is neutral, with price testing Kumo cloud top. - Price is still below the earish trendline, wedge top. - Weekly startegic key zone is clearly 1,0985-1,10. A close above would open space to 1,20. What are the chances for a breakout? - Longer term (within 3-5 months) I believe it will happen -> see Ichimoku structure (Tenkan/Kijun weak bullish ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO EURHUF, W, Short ,
EURHUF: EURHUF holds bearish bias
16 0 4
EURHUF, W Short
EURHUF holds bearish bias

Weekly: - Price is still within simmetric triangle - Ichimoku is neutral - Heikin-Asi bearish momentum is picking up - Resistance around 307 Daily: - Ichimoku is neutral (minor bearish bias) - Heikin-Ashi is bearish - First TP on shorts recommended aound 308,50+ Strategy: Should it drop further, get ready for profit taking! In case it spikes o 310,80-312, look ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO BUND, D, Long ,
BUND: Tick - Tock, up from the lows.
37 0 10
BUND, D Long
Tick - Tock, up from the lows.

Heikin-Ashi buy signal from trend support. The ollapse will happen later this year, not now. You also have to watch out for June/Sept roll. Technically this will cause a spike in continous chart this time, as FGBLU7 is trading in premium to FGBLM7. I am out of all German bond shorts. Looking to re-sell higher.

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO ZC1!, D,
ZC1!: Soon, not now.
44 0 10
ZC1!, D
Soon, not now.

It is very rare to see such a neutral setup like Corn. It is a perfect indecision. As you may know, my bias is still bit more bullish. Does it mean I have a position? No. We need some patience, have to wait for the breakout and firm buy signal.

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO SPX500, D, Short ,
SPX500: Swing short with 2400 stop
178 1 13
SPX500, D Short
Swing short with 2400 stop

All important signals are marked with ellipses. 4H time frame is turning more bearish. How deep it can go I don't know. Please keep in mind that major daily setup is still bullish, we will have to focus on proce action t the lower support levels: 2364 and 2337. It would be strategic bearish only below 2325! Until then no leverage, maximum 1 ATR adjusted risk ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO ZF1!, D, Short ,
ZF1!: Heikin-Ashi warning! Sellers may take control
62 0 4
ZF1!, D Short
Heikin-Ashi warning! Sellers may take control

Weekly: - Bearish Ichimoku - Heikin-Ashi shows consolidation - EWO is bearish - MACD -> bearish consolidation Daily: - Ichimoku setup may deteriorate from bullish to neutral as Price fails to move back above Tenkan Sen and tests Kijun Sen - We had 3 doji Heikin-Ashi candles in a row: indecision. haDelta+ and haOscillator may send an early bearish warning: cross ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO USOIL, 240,
USOIL: Heavy selling faded quickly, positive divergence builds.
211 0 15
USOIL, 240
Heavy selling faded quickly, positive divergence builds.

THis positive divergence suggests a local bottom is close. Maybe it was already in today. Get ready for first swing buy signal to enter 0,5 unit long, which in this case would be: Price crosses above Kijun Sen + EWO changes to green.

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO NAS100, D,
NAS100: Don't fade it. Just question if worths to be long here?
96 1 6
NAS100, D
Don't fade it. Just question if worths to be long here?

I have a feeling we may see a local top within few days. Watch: - daily haDelta+ and haOscillator - possible wedge resistance - Has 4H started to build negatove divergence in haDeta+ and EWO? Maybe yes, but not quite sure. - What is 4H haDelta goiing to do at zero?

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO XAGUSD, D, Long ,
XAGUSD: #Silver at Key support. Watch for buy signal
186 5 8
XAGUSD, D Long
#Silver at Key support. Watch for buy signal

- Price reached 100wma and forward Senkou B level -> top of support zone - Ichimoku has bullish bias ahead - Heikin-Ashi candle has both upper and lower wick today, it made slightly higher low. haDelt+ and haOscillator seem to bottom out and reverse - EWO is down to zero -> indecision - MACD -> abive zero but crossed down -> neutral, consolidation Strategy: watch ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO ZC1!, D, Long ,
ZC1!: Fight for the key levels
42 0 3
ZC1!, D Long
Fight for the key levels

Weekly: - Neutral Ichimoku, but price holds above weekly Kijun -> minor positive. Next important levels above are weekly Tenkan at 370 and Senkou B at 378. - haDelta and haOscillator are still above mid lines, but their strength is a question - EWO is positive - MACD shows consolidation Daily: - Ichimoku setup is neutral, Price is trying to recapture bullish ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO USOIL, D,
USOIL: Trade the range?
130 0 10
USOIL, D
Trade the range?

Weekly: - Back to top of support zone - Ichimoku neutral - EWO, MACD -> consolidation - Heikin-Ashi candle is bearish, but haDelta (SMA3 still at zero) and haOscillator (still above zero) have not yet confirmed further bearish move. Daily: - Looking at flat evarega lines we can call Ichimoku setup neutral. It would be really bearish only below 47-47,80, bullish ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO DXY, D, Short ,
DXY: #USD - break of bullish trendline
122 1 9
DXY, D Short
#USD - break of bullish trendline

With no more comment than: - Bearish Ichimoku - Bearish Heikin-Ashi - Bullish trendline being attached Despite higher yields and positive cost of carry, I don't want to own USD... do you?

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO EURUSD, D, Long ,
EURUSD: Increasing bullish bias and "The zone"
147 0 14
EURUSD, D Long
Increasing bullish bias and "The zone"

Weekly: - Ichimoku setup is back to neutral: Price is at Kumo cloud, forward cloud shades price ahead. Flat Tenkan and Kijun. Price spikes above Kijun (early bullish signal). Chikou Span hits past candles. - Price is still within a larger bullish wedge formation: upper supp/res is close at 1,0980. - Heikin-Ashi signalled possible bullish bias last week, when ...

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