Kumowizard

PRO
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About me I have been trading for more than 15 years (8 years as a professional interbank trader for bank treasuries.) I have always had a technical focus. I use Ichimoku Kinko Hyo as my main tool. I am a full time trader, a private investor.
Last visit Joined 3 years ago @Kumowizard
For more charts, ideas, thoughts and fun please follow me on Twitter too! @Kumowizard
Markets Allocation
41 % forex 13 % commodities 3 % indices 43 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
SPX 10% | 136 XAUUSD 7% | 105 EURUSD 7% | 102 USOIL 7% | 102
Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO ZC1!, D, Long , 5 hours ago
ZC1!: Look for a buy signal at 369-372 support!  $ZC
24 0 3
ZC1!, D Long
Look for a buy signal at 369-372 support! $ZC

- Price is back to key support marked by Kijun and horizontal line - trend is bullish, Ichimoku setup is bullish - Heikin-Ashi shows pull back, but watch out for haDelta+ and haOscillator! Both started to bottom out. - EWO is bullish - MACD is in bullish zone, have not crossed down. Until we have bullish setup, we only look for buy signals at supports. Let's see ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO XAUUSD, D, Long , 5 hours ago
XAUUSD: Positive. Buy signal above Kumo. Price tests 1251 key level
86 0 7
XAUUSD, D Long
Positive. Buy signal above Kumo. Price tests 1251 key level

After some consolidation, it finally we have another Heikin-Ashi buy signal above Kumo cloud. - decisive green candle with long body. haDelta+ bullish signal above zero center line. haOscillator crosses up too. - Ichimoku setup is getting more bullish. Tenkan is above Kumo now and points up. Chikou span may deliver a bullish break above past Kumo in next days. ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO NAS100, D, 5 hours ago
NAS100: A doji Heikin-Ashi candle - indecision
37 0 4
NAS100, D
A doji Heikin-Ashi candle - indecision

Which is a clear signal of indecision and start of consolidation after a historic bullish run. Supports: 5282 / 5196. A pull back to these levels is possible, but market would be still bullish above 5175-5195.

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO EURUSD, 240, 2 days ago
EURUSD: A more interesting short term divergence. (Can be positive)
199 3 11
EURUSD, 240
A more interesting short term divergence. (Can be positive)

This type of divergence is called "inverse positive divergence" and it is quite rare: Price makes a higher low, while haDelta and haOscillator cross up from a lower low point! It will be interesting. If Bears fail to push it below 1,0520, it will lead to a double bottom and they will face trouble. Especially above 1,0600-1,0620. Daily is still in spot Kumo ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO NAS100, 240, Short , 2 days ago
NAS100: The super bull and more divergence. Warning!
116 6 9
NAS100, 240 Short
The super bull and more divergence. Warning!

This was an awsome bullish run. Really amazing. And now we have amazing warning signals! Daily: - haDelta+ negative divergence - haOscillator negative divergence I really wonder how Heikin-Ashi candles will look after close today and especially tomorrow. :-) - Price is way far above its equilbrium (Kijun is at 5190) 4H: - Quite a strange Heikin-Ashi long wicked ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO GBPUSD, D, Long , 2 days ago
GBPUSD: Long trade on 4H triangle break and bullish daily signal
145 1 14
GBPUSD, D Long
Long trade on 4H triangle break and bullish daily signal

Daily: - Ichimoku has some bullish bias, but market lacks momentum. Price should trade above Tenkan at 1,2480 for next bullish wave signal. - Heikin-Ashi shows consolidation, with lot of indecision. 1,2330-1,2350 seems to be a strong support. - EWO and MACD are also neutral. - Market may be building a bullish flag pattern. It would be confirmed only with a close ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO EURUSD, D, 3 days ago
EURUSD: Mixed. Maybe ABC pattern to test 1,0875, maybe not.
112 0 12
EURUSD, D
Mixed. Maybe ABC pattern to test 1,0875, maybe not.

Weekly: - Ichimoku setup is bearish - Heikin-Ashi was bearish last week, but candle closed above Tenkan Sen -> lost quite some momentum by end of week. It is too early to get any clue from this week's candle. If Bears can't take control, we'll have an inside candle and haDelta will turn up. haOscillator is above center line -> this is not bearish. - EWI is bearish ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO SPX500, D, Short , 6 days ago
SPX500: Momentum loss, and the bullish supports
175 0 10
SPX500, D Short
Momentum loss, and the bullish supports

Obviously this chart is similar to Nasdaq100. - Ichimoku: bullish - EWO and MACD: bullish, but EWO ticked lower already - After a lower high yesterday, today's Heikin-Ashi candle signals indecision, haDelta+ and haOscillator crossed down -> start of consolidation or pull back - Supports: 2304 (Kijun Sen) / 2274,5 (forward Senkou B) - Lower key levels drifted ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO NAS100, D, Short , 6 days ago
NAS100: Local top on a stretched bull market
84 1 7
NAS100, D Short
Local top on a stretched bull market

- Ichimoku: Bullish - EWO, MACD: bullish - Heikin-Ashi: bullish, but as candle body shrinks, haDelta+ and haOscillator crossed down from their extreme highs -> possibly a local top and start of some consolidation or pull back - Support levels are: 5233 (Tenkan) / 5170 (Kijun) / appr. 5100 (Trendline) / 5040 (forward Senkou B) As you probably realised, it is ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO USOIL, D, 8 days ago
USOIL: WTI - nothing to see, nothing to do
103 0 9
USOIL, D
WTI - nothing to see, nothing to do

It is still trading in the tight noise box. Consolidation. There's nothing to do with it right now, as it is not trending. Volatility is extreme low. I still prefer the long Brent/short WTI spread trade (please see below).

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO EURUSD, W, 9 days ago
EURUSD: EUR crosses on weekly strategic charts
162 0 13
EURUSD, W
EUR crosses on weekly strategic charts

EURUSD: - bearish bias this week, after price turned down from Kijun Sen. - Next questions: will it break below Tenkan at 1,0585? If yes, will it make a lower low? Or else if Tenkan (1,0585) holds in coming weeks, will it be an A-B-C pattern leading to 1,0975-1,1100 zone later in wave 'C'? -> watch the daily chart for clue. That is still Ichimoku neutral / ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO IT10Y-DE10Y, W, 9 days ago
IT10Y-DE10Y: Bund/BTP trend intact, but momentum drops at key resistance
29 0 5
IT10Y-DE10Y, W
Bund/BTP trend intact, but momentum drops at key resistance

I closed all long Bund/short BTP spreads earlier last week as weekly chart was reaching key resistance at +200 bps. Weekly haDelta signals possible start of consolidation. Given the daily Heikin-Ashi setup and MACD, it is possible that we'll see more pull back towards 170 bps+ support. At/below 180 bps spread we have to start looking for buy signal again, and ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO XAUUSD, D, Long , 9 days ago
XAUUSD: Is it a "pull back", or is it just shy consolidation
219 4 12
XAUUSD, D Long
Is it a "pull back", or is it just shy consolidation

This pattern looks like a shallow retracement and temporary consolidation so far. I don't really expect lot more selling, rather next leg up to test 1250+ or even 1280. Why? Because: - Ichimnoku averages all point up. Price is not really far above Kijun. - EWO is bullish - Heikin-Ashi candles in last days all had long lower wicks, but smaller bodies, which means ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO DXY, D, Short , 9 days ago
DXY: Watch USD price action at critical supp/res level
105 0 8
DXY, D Short
Watch USD price action at critical supp/res level

- Ichimoku is neutral: everything is located in the Kumo cloud, avergaes are flat. Future bias is still more bearish (pls see forward Kumo and CHikou Span below past candles) - Price has retraced from Kumo bottom to 101+ where we have Kijun Sen and 100wma, representing a strong support/resistance level. - Watch Heikin-Ashi signals here: haDelta+ is flattening on ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO EURHUF, D, 9 days ago
EURHUF: Bearish bias, with trendline precision by tick
53 0 10
EURHUF, D
Bearish bias, with trendline precision by tick

- Ichimoku setup is bearish: price, Tenkan and Kijun are below Kumo. Forward Kumo is bearish, Tenkan is below Kijun. However Chikou Span (lagging line) should break below past candles too for further momentum pickup. - We have a minor bullish trendline with tick precision. Once it breaks, space opens to 300-302 target. - Heikin-Ashi shows some indecision at the ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO UKOIL-USOIL, W, Long , 14 days ago
UKOIL-USOIL: Brent Oil should outperform WTI in 2017
119 0 8
UKOIL-USOIL, W Long
Brent Oil should outperform WTI in 2017

This trade idea is coming from a very good friend of mine. Ichimoku and Heikin-Ashi setup also suggests we can try it. If you can't make a decision about a directional outright trade in "Oil", maybe just trade the spread between Brent and WTI futures. Technically looks OK, bias is bullish (buying Brent vs selling WTI). I think also fundamentals (supply side ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO EURUSD, D, Long , 14 days ago
EURUSD: Support, price action, odds
102 0 5
EURUSD, D Long
Support, price action, odds

- Ichimoku setup is neutral: price, Tenkan and Kijun all located in the spot Kumo cloud. Future bias is bullish, as both Kijun and Senkou A point up, and future Kumo is positive (Senkou A is above Senkou B) - Heikin-Ashi: pull back may end soon. Today and tomorrow candles will be important. haOscillator might bottom out and signal next swing up in coming days ...

Kumowizard Kumowizard PRO SPX500, D, Short , 15 days ago
SPX500: Signs of possible momentum weakness, and key supports to watch
162 0 9
SPX500, D Short
Signs of possible momentum weakness, and key supports to watch

- Ichimoku is bullish, but where is the momentum? Forward Kumo is getting thinner (longer averages converge) - Heikin-Ashi (candles and indicators) shows indecision and lack of bullish momentum. - MACD suggests rather a consolidation than a trend in place. It has massive negative divergence since december! - EWO is bullish, but fails to print higher values Key ...

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