4xForecaster

$CADJPY: All Targets Hit As Forecast

FX:CADJPY   Canadian Dollar / Japanese Yen
Friends,

On May 27th, 2014, I forecast two distinct bearish target, namely TG-1 = 93.830 and TG-2 = 93.746, using a much smaller timeframe (M5).

On a pure technical standpoint, the outlook appeared bearish, as price has surged into a EW Wave-3 completion, then retraced into a symmetrical a-b-c completion of Wave-4 (see top right of chart). What followed appeared to be a truncated Wave-5, whereby the termination of Point-5 remained below Point-3. In my predictive model, a significant reversal signal was already pointing to a probable reversal at this lesser level, relative to Point-3.

The underlying geometry that unfolded appeared as a wedge, with a rising median line that belonged to a much larger rising overhead resistance.

The trade opp was a tweeted first as a warning, calling the trader's attention to the conditional 93.987 value:

- " $CAD vs $JPY: Short opp within 93.868-93.987 range; look into your inds for confirm.; signal pending 93.987 not breached @UnknownUnicorn305 "

Following are graphic links of the trade's deveopment:

1 - Set up:
-
2 - Confirmation:
-
3 - Price Recovers Into A Kiss Of Death ("KoD"); Targets Are Defined:
-
4 - First Target Hit:
-
5 - All Targets Hit:
-

OVERALL:
This was a nice and clean trading opp, from the EW truncated Wave-5 and its geometric wedge signal, to a repeat short at the completion of the KoD, and the clean definition/validation of each targets.

Cheers,

David Alcindor
Predictive Analysis & Forecasting

More dead-on hits here: bit.ly/16JMnH8

Get these signals, analyses and forecast via my Twitter alias: @4xForecaster - All trading strategies use TradingView's toolbox.

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.