On May 27th, 2014, I forecast two distinct target, namely TG-1 = 93.830 and TG-2 = 93.746, using a much smaller timeframe (M5).
On a pure technical standpoint, the outlook appeared , as price has surged into a EW Wave-3 completion, then retraced into a symmetrical a-b-c completion of Wave-4 (see top right of chart). What followed appeared to be a truncated Wave-5, whereby the termination of Point-5 remained below Point-3. In my predictive model, a significant reversal signal was already pointing to a probable reversal at this lesser level, relative to Point-3.
The underlying geometry that unfolded appeared as a , with a rising that belonged to a much larger rising overhead resistance.
The trade opp was a tweeted first as a warning, calling the trader's attention to the conditional 93.987 value:
- " $CAD vs $JPY: Short opp within 93.868-93.987 range; look into your inds for confirm.; signal pending 93.987 not breached @tradingview "
Following are graphic links of the trade's deveopment:
1 - Set up:
2 - Confirmation:
3 - Price Recovers Into A Kiss Of Death ("KoD"); Targets Are Defined:
4 - First Target Hit:
5 - All Targets Hit:
This was a nice and clean trading opp , from the EW truncated Wave-5 and its geometric signal, to a repeat short at the completion of the KoD, and the clean definition/validation of each targets.
Predictive Analysis & Forecasting
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