seanadamsmithemail

CELH is approaching the end of the channel (UPDATE)

Short
NASDAQ:CELH   Celsius Holdings, Inc.
As an update, CELH is still in the ascending channel which started around the last earnings report.

The last 3 similar rallies have lasted 45, 32, and 17 trading days respectfully so this one is still completely normal in length.

Rallies 1 and 3 corrected to the 33 daily moving average while rally 2 corrected to the 165 dma; importantly, all 3 peaked at the top of their channels with high RSI.

A risky, but much more lucrative trade would be to purchase puts the next time CELH hits the channel top (and RSI hits the top of descending wedge pattern); however, a more reasonable trade is to wait until the channel bottom is broken.

In my opinion, the price will probably continue upward for a couple of more days, hit the 105 area and then deeply correct downward to at least the 33 dma (then around $85).

My trading strategy is to wait until the top of the channel and purchase $70 puts expiring on October 15th, definitely higher risk, but the payout if/when the price returns the 33 dma is around 2,000-3,000% profit.
Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.