white6intelligence

WTI: Corrective bounce back is (about to) over

Short
NYMEX:CL1!   Light Crude Oil Futures
WTI went close to, but did not reached 67.5 (38.2% retracement of the initial leg down) and broke the upward channel downward.
After the breakdown, it retraced almost 78.6% and started to fall again. The retracement was a clear three-wave rise and this means that the bounce back was corrective to the higher degree movement.

Based on Wave 1 & 2, we can estimate the target for Wave 3.
Most common Fibonacci target for Wave 3 = 1.618 x Wave 1: 60.75.

It is not impossible that the three-wave rise was not the entire Wave 2, but only Wave ((a)) of 2.
In that case, Wave 2 will be a Flat pattern, and WTI will bounce back from near 63.6 (Wave 1 extreme) to near 66.5 (previous bounce back area). These targets are preliminary and alternate only at the moment.
After the bounce back though, the end result will be the same: The higher degree trend is down and WTI is likely to see February low.

More charts can be found at www.white6intelligence.com

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.