Copper Rises to 2+ Year Highs on Improving Supply-Demand Outlook
Copper prices have rallied more than 20% this year as the market is tightening, moving above 4.800 for the first time in more than two years. Improving supply-demand dynamics can drive further gains, with the March 2022 record peak now in the spotlight (5.041).
Concerns around output are high, as key miners expect lower production this year. At the same time, demand optimism is on the rise, with the AI-driven recovery of the chip industry and the clean energy transition to support usage of the non-ferrous metal.
On the other hand, production is still likely to grow this year and there are uncertainties around demand. A key source is China, due to its uneven post-pandemic recovery and the ailing real estate sector.
Furthermore, the RSI points to overbought conditions and has not followed the price higher today, creating scope for a pullback. However, a strong catalyst would be needed to challenge the EMA200 (black line) and the bullish momentum.
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Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
Concerns around output are high, as key miners expect lower production this year. At the same time, demand optimism is on the rise, with the AI-driven recovery of the chip industry and the clean energy transition to support usage of the non-ferrous metal.
On the other hand, production is still likely to grow this year and there are uncertainties around demand. A key source is China, due to its uneven post-pandemic recovery and the ailing real estate sector.
Furthermore, the RSI points to overbought conditions and has not followed the price higher today, creating scope for a pullback. However, a strong catalyst would be needed to challenge the EMA200 (black line) and the bullish momentum.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com/uk):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com/au
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com/markets):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com/uk/market-commentary/
Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com/eu/market-commentary/
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com/au/market-commentary/
Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com/markets/market-commentary/
Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
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