If you observe the previous circles, in the 2 previous occasions the candle has left a wick below the average of 200 periods, closing the candle above the average.
There are 2 scenarios for me:
1- That it goes down to the green horizontal line that is the first monthly support. From there it goes up again until the first monthly resistance where it also made a .
2- Do not touch the horizontal green line, leaving a large wick and closing the candle above the average 200 periods. From there go up to the horizontal red line that is monthly resistance.
If neither of the 2 scenarios is fulfilled, the SL is placed below the middle circle. If the operation goes well, it has a risk / reward ratio of 2.36