bryanpfitz

VIX Bottoming means S&P topping in the short term

CME_MINI:ES1!   S&P 500 E-MINI FUTURES
The VIX             or Volatility Index looks like it has found some support in the short term. In reality, the VIX             acts very much like a 30( ish             ) delta S&P 500             put. It is not exactly the fear index all the talking heads make it out to be. 98% of the time it is higher when the S&P             is lower and vice versa on the S&P             rally. The VIX             seems to have bottomed at 13, trend line support, and has actually been a touch higher this week even with The S&P             higher. You add to this the Doji reversal formed with last week’s VIX             candle and the S&P             hitting up against the top of the trend channel that has been in place since late 2011 and all signs point to a short term reversal. With that being said, the S&P             looks to be ready for a pullback from the highs. Without any more fundamental news to push the S&P             to new highs, we will probably see some profit taking in the near term. From here, the initial targets look like the VIX             will shoot for 19.50 first and the S&P             will try to break down to 1937.
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