Nifty nearing all-time-high, and India VIX is rising too!
VIX>13 and up-trending.
In Feb 2023 we saw India VIX climbing up to 18. Purely because of National Event - Budget.
This time we have even more sensational National Event - Elections!
Will it breach 2023 high?
All the best Option Sellers. The dance of Volatility starts!
On Friday, the Volatility S&P 500 Index reached new lows unseen since January 2020. What is intriguing about this situation is that new lows in the value of the VIX tended to be followed by a subsequent spike in the index and weakness in the U.S. stock market (over the past year or so). Considering that the recovery of the Chinese stock market is starting to show...
TVC:VIX is almost @ the MAJOR SUPPORT level we have spoken about many times.
IF this 12 area is broken it has a history of going as low as 10.
Sub 10 = R A R E!
Pulling back to this area after a high VIX, then normalizing to a low #VIX, it has signified a GOOD CBOE:SPX RUN.
After some time, shortest span was 2 years, the VIX eventually trades higher &...
it measures the price liquidity and volatility of the bond or market
could be the FLOW of FUNDS ahead of the underlying assets in the OPTiONS market
a crystal ball that provides you a 3 week headscarf to POSiTiON scale in or out of your beloved PETS
The VIX will spike again, nothing to do about it.
Fundamentally, a perfect storm is brewing.
We had/have many events in the markets:
- Covid Pandemic
- Supply Chain Disrupted
- Ukraine Invasion
- Russia Sanctions
- Inflation Spike
- Energy Crisis
- Global Drought
- Interest Rates Hikes
What's next, a full-blown WAR?
I was writing once about #VIX:
As history shows, the VIX can move around these values for a longer time too. This means that even if we come to 15, 11, 8-9, it is not necessary to wait for an instant market crash. We can get a not bad rally.
In front of you Monthly chart of #VIX
There is still space to go down. Be careful when #VIX touches levels below...
Daily TVC:VIX seems to be heading lower, likely retest 13.
Weekly not much sign of holding, maybe 12?
Longer term the trend from 2020 is obviously broken. Even the monthly can't help now.
There is STAUNCH support @ 13 then 12.
This area has been strong for a long time.
BREAKS? Then 10.
It’s that time of year. Equity markets are often quiet while bond traders are sometimes caught napping on the trading floor. Thanksgiving is historically quite bullish – Stephen Suttmeier at BofA points out that in all years going back to 1928, the S&P 500 has outperformed over this period (markets are closed Thursday, and Friday is an NYSE half day). The average...
The Red line is support formed by $CBOE:SPX/FRED:M2SL
The Green line is a duplicate of the red placed over the VIX for the same period showing clear divergence and a point of resistance.
I know the VIX is misleading now due to 0dte.
Critique is invited but regardless, will the Grinch visit this Christmas?
TVC:VIX chart mapping/analysis.
Always been a firm-believer in strong negative correlation with SPX.
Key is not matching SPX highs with VIX lows ie "catching the bottom" - it should be used as a supplementary indicator for overall market direction, by identifying key support/resistance areas for trend switches that aids you in developing a Trading Edge...
It has been an amazingly bullish last couple of weeks both in the stonk world and in cryptos. In this video I cover what has occurred from a technical basis and what I think the charts are now showing us. In short, stonks look to continue their upward trends but crypto is less certain. I also wanted to explain why I went short on a few trades. What was I...
VIX is too low and USDT.D is at median value + almost flat for few months.
I expect huge volatility on legacy market. Rising VIX get this chart's value into around 4.
If USDT.D drops in the meantime this will be faster.
Anyhow, I expect crypto market will be more profitable or cause less damage to your wallet in the coming months.
This is just my idea and not...
Over the last couple of days, the previous posts have been showing a number of indications from various perspectives about a financial market breakdown, and here we have an essential heads up... VOLATILTIY.
I use the VXX ETN for the metrics it provides, albeit its idiosyncrasies.
August into September, a breakdown into a lower range indicated that a RISK-ON...
SPY has bounced exactly as the charts had shown us it would do. I will briefly discuss what we can expect now in the weeks ahead as we continue our move towards the target of our blowoff top.
We will also look at a few of my short plays. I will discuss what I was thinking in entering and what I expect now.
I was stopped out of the NVDA play and will...