gillianpatrice

ETH/BTC - FIbs don't lie

Long
gillianpatrice Updated   
BINANCE:ETHBTC   Ethereum / Bitcoin
I have been watching ETH to place a position as I missed this train.
It's no mystery where ETH started to retrace/correct.
I have numbered my fibs in order to explain my methodology.
FIB #1 was from the swing low to the swing high - first leg or move or wave. I am looking for an extension of this wave to see where price will falter.
Price just pierced through the 127% but it's a near perfect touch before the Bears said oversold we are taking our profits and hibernating for a while.
FIB#2 is of the entire move from the previous swing low to the ATH. This gives me retracement levels or corrections.I am looking at the 50% or the 38.2% for a long term position on Ethereum.
FIB # 3 is a fib of the FIRST corrective wave after the move swing. The extension of this fib 127%, 161% %+& often 200% in Cryptos gives me an idea for a trade set up.
Then I look at overlapping areas or fib levels, support and resistance, orderflow = confluence that occurs on the chart, and there it is.
I have an area of upward support a 127% extension, a 0.50% (mean reversion) and a 0.618% within an area that I will trade. I will watch what happens on a smaller time frame to confirm my plan, watching for a reversal candle pattern, a 1-2-3 price action to mitigate my risk.
It simply stacks the odds on my side to take the trade and feel confident that I am following a plan. Without a plan you will erode your bank account and more importantly your confidence. You cannot buy confidence it is built day by day from trading your plan and being successful. Being a confident trader if you are new is all you should be focussing on - not the money.

Trade closed: target reached:
We had a reaction to the support line price turned from bearish to bullish - now its just a wait and see why who will win as price has reacted to the first level of resistance.

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.