It's all still a lot of guessing, but only thing i can say is, that if we move sideways for a few more days, making small and slow drops (like the blue line), but staying above the 100ish AND keep testing that resistance line, we could see a counter move happen instead of a big drop . So i't important we see a few tests of that resistance line, otherwise this theory is not valid and the most likely direction will be down.
Please don't forget to like if you appreciate this :)
When ETH will hit $125 like @botje11 shows it will be a capitulation for bears. Then I expecting a boring consolidation 4-5 months where the crypto-cynics like you will realize that BTC will never drop below $3000 and switch from bears to bulls. It will look like a small bull rally on the chart and another good sign before the long bull run.