ETH still needs to retrace some before cont. up for macro wave 3

ETH still needs to retrace some before cont. up for macro wave 3 up. I think we will see an extended wave C down to at least the 1.236 ($4294). That last drop had heavy volume. I think we we soon see more volume in a downward trend. I've been toying with the 128MA (black line). This MA, historically, Has been strong support or resistance in the past. Eth has crossed it on the 1hr and approaching it on the 4hr with this ABC correction. BTC on the 4hr has hit this support twice in the last 3 days. Both Eth and BTC are struggling to stay on the upper side of the Bollinger band. With the previous high we saw coupled with a lower RSI (indication of the top of wave 5 and the beginning of an ABC correction) I believe downtrend is immanent. I think many other alts are in the same pattern. Total Crypto market cap hasn't dropped much during this dip. It currently sits at -6% from ATH. BTC dominance is dropping. These two together indicate money could soon begin to move from BTC over into alts during this dip.