Johanes
Long

JLS: EURCHF Target Zone Trading 1.1200-1.1800

FX:EURCHF   Euro / Swiss Franc
Based on time series interest rate differential-based currency band method and the measured average weighted rates to current EURUSD and USDCHF target zones, the estimated exchange rate target zone for EURCHF is 600 PIPs of which 1.1200 as actual lower ceiling and the 1.1800 as the estimated upper ceiling. The current monetary price movement to upward by their interest rate differential-based monetary price trend.

The pair is still underway from her lower ceiling to central band/central parity at 1.1500 and will continue to upper band/ceiling after compressed (pullback). The current interest rate differential monetary price trend also carried by CHF carry traders to look for two source of profits from, the EUR appreciation by the CHF plus interest rate differential fees.

Trading strategies:

Long/buy at lowest rate (by technical method or by currency band method)
Average monthly volatility , 150 PIPs
Stop loss 150 PIPs
Target, 1.1800 for estimated 450 PIPs, estimate by June 2019
Risk Category: Low

Note: The pair may compressed at 1.1500.

Risk management: stop loss position managed overtime to risk-free trading position as permitted by the market price movement to upward by maintaining 150 PIPs below the current rate. At such, should the current rate 150 PIPs above the entry rate then the trading position manageable to risk free.

Or,

Long/buy from interdays low (by technical method or by currency band method)
Average interdays volatility , 80 PIPs
Stop loss 80 PIPs below interdays low
Target, 150 PIPs (interdays high)
Risk Category: Medium

Risk management: stop loss position managed overtime to risk-free trading position as permitted by the market price movement to upward by maintaining 80 PIPs below the current rate. At such, should the current rate 80 PIPs above the entry rate then the trading position manageable to risk free.

Or,

Long/buy from daily low (by technical method or currency band method)
Average daily low/high, 50 PIPs
Stop loss 50 PIPs below daily low
Target, 50 PIPs (daily high)
Risk Category: High

Risk management: stop loss position managed overtime to risk-free trading position as permitted by the market price movement to upward by maintaining 50 PIPs below the current rate. At such, should the current rate 50 PIPs above the entry rate then the trading position manageable to risk free.

Note:

JLS Trade, means JLS (I) also trade this pair. JLS, means not trade made.

Your comments and opinion are welcomed. This analysis is integrating technical method to currency band method for easier to follow. This analysis will not be changed or altered unless there is major changes on the monetary policy made by the ECB, SNB and the Fed during the upward movement of the monetary price trend.

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