Sforex
Short

FA and TA for E/U next week.(Sideway and then Sell-off)

FX:EURUSD   Euro Fx/U.S. Dollar
271 1 1
Next week traders should pay attention into three events which can affect greatly on E/U pair:

- Thursday: Fed's Bernanke Speech + GDP of Germany and EU.
- Friday: CPI             of EU.

This is three main events, E/U rallies or sell-offs depend on those three events.

And what about the rest days ?. Monday to Wednesday.

I think E/U would sideway in a range which I show on the chart.

1.33 is the support , a very strong support bases on Gann Sqaure Nine. Price hardly bounces when hit that support if market doesn't provide a strong catalyst.

I think GDP information and Fed's Bernanke speech would provide that catalyst which hit E/U to breaks that strong support.

Thus, From Monday to Wednesday, E/U in my opinion will not break that support.

That is the first line of range which I mention above.

The second line of range is 1.3467. That is the strong support now turn strong resistance. E/U price hit that support many times before break it when Mario Draghi announced to cut the Interest.

So I think E/U will not rally above that resistence. In addition, I don't believe that E/U will increase because Interest cut. It's hard to rally. Very very hard.

In short, I will open one trade:

Enter: 1.33645

Stop Loss: 1.3424 (38% Fibonacci Level)

Take Profit: 1.33

I will wait until Thursday.

But there are many many evidences show that E/U absolutely falls down :

+ EU cuts Interest rate.
+ US economy recovers very good.
+ FED taper.
+ EU Economy still be weak.
+Tenkan Sen cuts Kijun Sen
Price is being below EMA 50, SMA 50, SMA 20, SMA 10, broke SMA 100.
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