TimStuyts

EURUSD, guy's keep an eye on major structure

FX:EURUSD   Euro Fx/U.S. Dollar
537 5 23
4 months ago
There are several way's to count the structure for EURUSD             and those are all valid. So what I like to do is keep in mind what drives this pair and that's 'uncertainty' about what and when the FED will act. The simple fact is that EURUSD             is famous of its 50% retrace levels. What did we see last Friday after a 'main event'? Exactly that same 50% range got tested again. In other words nothing changed so far and we are still trading noise, fear and hope. So I won't give a high probability wave count of lesser degree on lower time frames because that simply doesn't make sense. The wave count on the daily time frame is my long term wave count projection and I left it on the chart so we can see that this might still be the correct projection. The current price action looks a lot like we saw more or less a year ago (coincidence?).
So what will be the plan for next week?
snapshot

snapshot

Simple; impulse-consolidation-impulse.
I like to see at least a third wave higher out of the confluence zone. Once we see that unfolding we will update again because this might be the whole consolidation of Friday's bearish move or a potential reversal.

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3 months ago
Comment:
snapshot

If you are not in watch for minor consolidations before you buy. If we reverse, we adjust.
3 months ago
Comment: Keep in mind that as long as we are moving within this fractal shown by means of the yellow box a lot is possible in terms of the technical picture (and EW count for that matter) so don't get biased and always wait for impulse-consolidation-impulse.
snapshot
Mjdnjd
4 months ago
For long I think we will see 1:1
+2 Reply
TimStuyts Mjdnjd
4 months ago
I don't understand what you mean? Sorry
Reply
TomPower TimStuyts
4 months ago
he means parity. Not sure when that will happen but this triangle is pretty complex and could play out for months ahead
+1 Reply
TimStuyts TomPower
4 months ago
Yes that's what I see as likely as well in terms of how much longer it might take before this triangle is complete. We know that a triangle almost always occurs prior to final move of the structure which means a continuation lower once this is done. That will bring price towards parity eventually and likely even lower.
Reply
Victor.Y.F
4 months ago
Thank you TimStuyts! Same view with you, 1.1800 should be breached soon.
Reply
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