Emergence of Cypher Pattern?

Yesterday's rise hit 61.8% of the down from 10474 to 10246 at 10386. At 16:30 we saw high volume without huge movements which makes me think that we're about to come down this Tuesday (20/9) as a continuation of my idea published on Saturday (17/9). Should 10386 be broken then its first stop will be 10425.

This is just my view of things. Your constructive comments are more than welcome of course.

Trade closed manually:

This pattern obviously didn't emerge. Under 10474 we're still bearish though...