GLD Trend continuation

AMEX:GLD   SPDR Gold Trust
After 3 pushes up, all the retail traders were all excited because i have a retail trader friend who wanted to buy. They also tricked the shorts into buying to cover at the top to provide liquidity for the big boys selling. I know this because the next bar was down instead of up, plus all the buying volume dried up before gapping down. I am expecting the downtrend to continue all of next year as the US dollar rallies and equities continue the strong uptrend.