By taking use of an old trick, we can now pinpoint HBAR's main performing formation, as 'Descending Channel'. We do that by connecting 2-point axis lines at exact 'open' and 'close' coordinates to imitate continuous performance into the future (see below). This method can be traced back to the 18th century of Japanese rice trade, where the usage of candlesticks originates from.
Step-Line 2-point axis connection for higher precision:
Moving to the fun part: expect a massive price surge once (and if) performance has passed the 'century'-VWAP level. This makes finding the bottom even more important – which I personally believe to be around half a cent (0.005). We'll be able to determine a more precise level once the next SAR point breaks (should be any day now). We will then be able to mirror the entire SAR series' drop of -56%, from that point downward, to determine an approximate "strong oversold" area, or in other words "the bottom". This area could be strategically used to place downward incremental buy-orders. A recent buy order of some 10+ million shares @ 0.01 (roughly $100k worth) was registered, showing how quickly word is spreading about HBAR.
Key level is the intersecting level between the (blue) intermediate downward channel and the lower main channel trend-line. Breaking this level is an indication for a continuation and an exit below the channel, where bullish accumulation can begin. Take note that HBAR could produce 'wicks' as high as the 20MA or slightly below the 50MA, but performance should remain 'intermediate channel'-bound (blue).
NOTE:
Considering all the bullish facts that Hedera Hashgraph boasts, it's imperative that you understand – the implications for – and problems with – "virgin" stocks or currencies, which have just recently started trade. This analysis was made using nearly 20y of experience in chart-analysis, and still, I'd like you to take this as an "idea" only (as all TradingView posts imply). This type of trade is extremely difficult to foretell and falls under the category of "high-risk", meaning that we only know what we know. Hidden factors (if there are any) cannot be calculated into this chart. Therefor I implore you to do your own due diligence parallel to this analysis and base your potential HBAR-trades with your own confidence, not with mine. In addition: as you know, price change is famously tied to supply and demand. If demand rises out of proportion prematurely, prices could start rising outside of these technical boundaries, potentially causing you (and us all) to "miss the train".
This post will be updated continuously when mentionable changes can be observed.
Step-Line 2-point axis connection for higher precision:
Moving to the fun part: expect a massive price surge once (and if) performance has passed the 'century'-VWAP level. This makes finding the bottom even more important – which I personally believe to be around half a cent (0.005). We'll be able to determine a more precise level once the next SAR point breaks (should be any day now). We will then be able to mirror the entire SAR series' drop of -56%, from that point downward, to determine an approximate "strong oversold" area, or in other words "the bottom". This area could be strategically used to place downward incremental buy-orders. A recent buy order of some 10+ million shares @ 0.01 (roughly $100k worth) was registered, showing how quickly word is spreading about HBAR.
Key level is the intersecting level between the (blue) intermediate downward channel and the lower main channel trend-line. Breaking this level is an indication for a continuation and an exit below the channel, where bullish accumulation can begin. Take note that HBAR could produce 'wicks' as high as the 20MA or slightly below the 50MA, but performance should remain 'intermediate channel'-bound (blue).
NOTE:
Considering all the bullish facts that Hedera Hashgraph boasts, it's imperative that you understand – the implications for – and problems with – "virgin" stocks or currencies, which have just recently started trade. This analysis was made using nearly 20y of experience in chart-analysis, and still, I'd like you to take this as an "idea" only (as all TradingView posts imply). This type of trade is extremely difficult to foretell and falls under the category of "high-risk", meaning that we only know what we know. Hidden factors (if there are any) cannot be calculated into this chart. Therefor I implore you to do your own due diligence parallel to this analysis and base your potential HBAR-trades with your own confidence, not with mine. In addition: as you know, price change is famously tied to supply and demand. If demand rises out of proportion prematurely, prices could start rising outside of these technical boundaries, potentially causing you (and us all) to "miss the train".
This post will be updated continuously when mentionable changes can be observed.
Comment:
UPDATE #1: RSI shows broken support, suggests further decline to reach bottom by end of January.
Comment:
UPDATE #2: (self-explanatory)
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UPDATE #3:
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UPDATE #4:
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(slight adjustments to main channel will be verified with next update)
Comment:
For now it looks like 0.01'ish was indeed the bottom (strong support/volume). Next target is 90MA. Once completely out of the main formation, HBAR is a strong-buy at any price as long as it doesn't reverse back into the formation (unlikely). Above 'Century VWAP' HBAR is a super-strong-buy.