Fractaleer

ICP - a pig of a chart, but signs of secret coiling nonetheless?

Long
I'm heavily invested in ICP and most of it is locked up for a minimum of 8 years, so yes, I'm biased... I think this has got to be THE most undervalued project in all of crypto.

And so I'm perpetually disappointed with the uninspiring ICP/USD chart. What IS going on with that? Nothing to hold onto, nothing to indicate the price is coiling up, ready to spring out of its pattern and finally surprise crypto-heads the world over.

It's easy to draw a teal arrow, and the one drawn in this chart - as anyone can see - is not grounded in T/A. In fact, one could clearly make the case for a disturbing trend of ever less convincing highs (red curve) with chances of a drop down more likely than a pump up. Also, there is a lack of significant historic support, which makes trading ICP uncomfortable.

And I'm not saying that a drop is unlikely to occur. ICP has been taken on by crypto heavyweights in the past and may be pounced on again in the future. BUT, there is another way of looking at ICP and of trading it responsibly (if trading is ever responsible).

I suggest that for trading purposes, it is much better to use the ICP.D chart (first chart below) or the ICP/BTC chart (second chart below). These are very similar, but my preference goes out to the ICP.D chart which shows the history of ICP market cap dominance. This is a personal preference, related to my favourite way of calculating Fibs. The ICP.D chart has some interesting recent runs and drops that - interestingly - the ICP/BTC chart lacks. These pumps and drops allow fibs and trendlines to be drawn and also show some support by significant moving averages on the daily chart.

A triangle is the main feature (on both these charts) and we're right at the bottom, pretty close to some other support features (MAs). This makes me think that ICP IS in fact coiling up with investors in silk slippers accumulating ICP sneakily. But you can make up your own mind of course: I've always has a lively imagination.

Now, if I had even more appetite for ICP accumulation (which I don't - I'm already out on a limb) I'd consider buying the day we see some long bullish confirmation candle. With a relatively short stop to be activated in the event of a weekly close below the triangle. That'd be a neat and potentially responsible trade.

Note I've also added the weekly ICP.D chart with a crazily optimistic trendlines for peeps that are on my ICP buss... (chart at the bottom)



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