TraderEngineering

IMX → Immutable Descending Wedge Bullish Pattern. Time to Long?

Long
COINBASE:IMXUSD   ImmutableX
IMX has been in a descending wedge pullback after a three-legged bull run. This appears to be a textbook long setup, but is it?

How do we trade this? 🤔
The long setup in front of us is reasonable, but there are a few data points in our way. What's in favor of a long position is the descending wedge pattern after a three-legged bull run. The pullback has three pushes down with some strong buy bars, signaling upward pressure.

However, we are still below the Daily 30EMA and a distance from the Support Zone top at $1.49 and the Daily 200EMA at $1.35. You can argue that the third bounce off the descending wedge support is out low and we can place our stop loss there, and that is reasonable. I am suggesting exactly that trade is reasonable after a break of the Daily 30EMA and a re-test of the descending wedge resistance as support. The stop loss can be placed below the previous wedge low of $1.70 with a profit target at a 1:1 Risk/Reward Ratio of $2.414.


💡 Trade Idea 💡

Long Entry: $1.990
🟥 Stop Loss: $1.566
✅ Take Profit: $2.414
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1


🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑

1. Three pushes up in a bull channel.
2. Descending Wedge bullish pattern with three pushes down.
3. Strong bull signal bars on every wedge push.
4. Suggested to wait for a break of Daily 30EMA and a re-test of wedge resistance as support.
5. RSI at 48.00 and above the Moving Average, supports long bias.


💰 Trading Tip 💰
The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades.


⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!


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Comment:

IMX broke out of the Descending Wedge as expected reaching $2.285. The price is now hanging above the 30EMA but failing to break down. If you're in this long, hang onto the position. If you're not yet in a position, wait for confirmation off of the 30EMA to the upside.
Comment:

Zooming into the 4HR chart, we received the confirmation candle necessary to end a long trade. However we're a distance away from the original proposed stop loss. In the case that you are now ready to enter a long, I would place the stop loss around $1.85 below the last low and below the 4HR 30EMA. This gives you a rough 1:2 Risk/Reward setup. The entry for that setup has passed, so if you're looking for a scalp, I would do a 1:1 Risk/Reward using that same stop loss, use half the position size of the 1:2 R/R trade, and target $2.50 for a take profit.
Comment:

If you entered a trade per my last update, your 1:1 or 1:2 targets would have been hit! I would wait and watch the price action play out, we're burning hot near resistance on Bitcoin.

-Joe Dean
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TraderEngineering.com
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