Ecantoni

Italian mkt showing a scary analogy...and a gloomy forecast

Short
FX:ITA40   None
1
The analogy follows the 11/2010 - 8/2011 movement. From a technical standpoint both MACD and RSI are tracking quite nicely the fractal, enough to consider:
1-potential weakness into the coming week
2-a final rally at the end of January
3-lower lows till May
Potential catalysts:
- turmoil post-tapering in US equity mkts showing worrisome analogies
- local political impasse
- worsening macro deflationary scenario
-worsened credit rating
-"Grexit" as similarly to what happened in Venezuela the year before of its default in 1998, Greece has just posted
a primary budget surplus in Q4 2013
Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.