Ecantoni

MOD
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Markets Allocation
50 % stocks 26 % commodities 9 % indices 16 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
ES1! 4% | 5 NQ1! 4% | 5 ANR 4% | 5 EURUSD 3% | 4
Ecantoni Ecantoni MOD EURJPY, 240, Short ,
EURJPY: EURJPY vs. 2015 fractal
293 1 6
EURJPY, 240 Short
EURJPY vs. 2015 fractal

Fractal extrapolated from 2015, during the continuation of the Greek "crisi" right before the referendum, is here to the current North Korean crisis. Some would prolly address it as an atypical three picks and domed house, but beyond all the drama and the war of words the cross has rallied 12% since A p r i l and valuations are stretched, especially considering ...

Ecantoni Ecantoni MOD BTCUSD, 240, Short ,
BTCUSD: BTC vs 2013
8584 26 67
BTCUSD, 240 Short
BTC vs 2013

Fractal extrapolated from the 2 0 1 3 boom and bust suggesting weakness into end of month, a confirmed test of 2 3 0 0 area would then open the door to full bear market and lower supports.

Ecantoni Ecantoni MOD DJI, W, Education
DJI: 1987- 2018 Fractal Update
724 3 22
DJI, W Education
1987- 2018 Fractal Update

Fractal now tracking the 87 top and starting to test resistance, which might take a couple of weeks more ( the comparison daily/weekly here is on purpose as what has been led us here is the mere structure). Beyond the potential catalysts on the table ( too many actually for choosing one ) for a downturn of 87 proportion in 2018, the next two swings gotta be ...

Ecantoni Ecantoni MOD FDX, 120, Short ,
FDX: FedEx Fractal Update
101 0 5
FDX, 120 Short
FedEx Fractal Update

Model now tracking mid June 2015, back then at new all time high, just as today. Dow lagging behind looking for its own final top around the 21400 area. Ideal target of 20 handles in the wake of earnings, discretional stops as always.

Ecantoni Ecantoni MOD YM1!, 30,
YM1!: Dow April-May Fractal Update
113 0 6
YM1!, 30
Dow April-May Fractal Update

Dow model spotted 20 days ago still running, now tracking early May. Lateral price action likely to continue till NFP, then price action won't be just data dependent due to looming elections in the UK and potentially other shockers from North Korea or Greece. If still spot on by mid June, chances of weakness would suggest 20700 retest then.

Ecantoni Ecantoni MOD XAUUSD, D, Long ,
XAUUSD: Gold Fractal
245 0 13
XAUUSD, D Long
Gold Fractal

Extrapolation taken from 08-09 and expanded. Currently reacting on static support. Macd strategy signal not shown yet. Targeting 60 handle upwards before reiterated weakness. Discretional trailing stops

Ecantoni Ecantoni MOD YM1!, 30,
YM1!: Dow's April Fractal
120 0 10
YM1!, 30
Dow's April Fractal

Dow model confirmed this morning seems to be tracking April's swings, even if it is currently a bit front-running the 12th there's a first look at 20700 handle for the next sessions. Further weakness would confirm the fractal and warn for potential strength into the end of the month.

Ecantoni Ecantoni MOD EURUSD, 120, Long ,
EURUSD: Remastered EURUSD 2016 fractal
254 0 9
EURUSD, 120 Long
Remastered EURUSD 2016 fractal

*Structure now tracking march 2016 targeting above 1.10 *Compelling data to be released ahead *Discretionary stop

Ecantoni Ecantoni MOD AMZN, 240, Short ,
AMZN: Amazon 2016 Fractal
136 0 5
AMZN, 240 Short
Amazon 2016 Fractal

*Extrapolation derived from 2016, now tracking November right ahead of earnings *Ideal target to be scaled starting from 850 area. Discretionary stops

Ecantoni Ecantoni MOD LULU, 240, Short ,
LULU: LULU fractal
81 0 3
LULU, 240 Short
LULU fractal

*extrapolation from 2012-2014 *currently tracking December 2013 *discretionary stop, support breakout eyes ideal target 10 handles lower

Ecantoni Ecantoni MOD HG1!, D, Short ,
HG1!: Seasonality on High Grade vs. Fractal
236 3 12
HG1!, D Short
Seasonality on High Grade vs. Fractal

*7 yrs seasonality suggesting upcoming weakness *Fractal extrapolated from 1991 matching. Stop at 2017 highs, first ideal target at Fibo 50%

Ecantoni Ecantoni MOD FDX, D, Short ,
FDX: FedEx 2014-2015 Fractal
72 0 7
FDX, D Short
FedEx 2014-2015 Fractal

*Fractal of 9 months extrapolation taken from 2014-2015 with no modification *Current levels tracking march 2015 right before earnings even at that time *The levels of capex have been sliding in the last 2 yrs while the debt/equity has grown partly to sustain the huge buyback program started in back in 2016, which defended four times the price action with the ...

Ecantoni Ecantoni MOD SGMO, D, Long ,
SGMO: Fractal on Sangamo
102 0 7
SGMO, D Long
Fractal on Sangamo

*Fractal extrapolation from 2008-09 cycle *Ideal entry @ 4 handle area. Stop one handle *Pipeline promising, despite overall in early stages

Ecantoni Ecantoni MOD EURUSD, 15,
EURUSD: EURUSD fractal ahead of NFP
340 7 13
EURUSD, 15
EURUSD fractal ahead of NFP

*repetition coming out of the 1/11 track, centered on the looming nfp *high volatility to be expected in both sides so no rush to get in

Ecantoni Ecantoni MOD EURUSD, W, Long ,
EURUSD: EURUSD 1997-2002 vs. 2012-2017 fractal
325 0 7
EURUSD, W Long
EURUSD 1997-2002 vs. 2012-2017 fractal

Given all the "smart" think-tanks and the vast majority expecting parity next year, probably the appeal of the opposite side of the trade doesn't need further analysis. Anyhow, the euro is tracking the fractal since 2012, as latest spike confirmed that the euro is also tracking December 2015 (posted already). A commentary to ECB's taper tantrum or the "100.2% of ...

Ecantoni Ecantoni MOD ZW1!, D, Long ,
ZW1!: Wheat 2008-2010 expanded fractal
591 1 14
ZW1!, D Long
Wheat 2008-2010 expanded fractal

Being tracking this since September. Starting a position, as inflection point is so close, that it could reverse the trend totally out of the blue as in June 2010. -Ideal Tgt @ 50% fib ext by March -Stop @ 3.00

Ecantoni Ecantoni MOD USDJPY, 15, Short ,
USDJPY: EURJPY daily vs. USDJPY 15 min fractal
201 2 12
USDJPY, 15 Short
EURJPY daily vs. USDJPY 15 min fractal

short USDJPY -0.53% 15 MIN fractal appears to be tracking EURJPY -0.18% 2013-2016 Q2 -1st Target 76% -STOP @ last week highs

Ecantoni Ecantoni MOD CL1!, D, Long ,
CL1!: Crude 96-2004 fractal
339 0 12
CL1!, D Long
Crude 96-2004 fractal

-Doha Opec deal looming -Being tracking this since last Autumn, to be kept for next year along with wheat. -SL @ Nov lows -First TGT is @ neck test @ 50 then respectevly by 10 handles higher but it has to be assessed further late on.

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