Ecantoni

MOD
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Last visit Joined 4 years ago ECantoni
Mastering Fractals
Markets Allocation
51 % stocks 26 % commodities 10 % indices 13 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
ES1! 5% | 5 NQ1! 5% | 5 ANR 5% | 5 INDU 4% | 4
Ecantoni Ecantoni MOD EURUSD, 15, 23 days ago
EURUSD: EURUSD fractal ahead of NFP
287 7 12
EURUSD, 15
EURUSD fractal ahead of NFP

*repetition coming out of the 1/11 track, centered on the looming nfp *high volatility to be expected in both sides so no rush to get in

Ecantoni Ecantoni MOD EURUSD, W, Long , 2 months ago
EURUSD: EURUSD 1997-2002 vs. 2012-2017 fractal
275 0 6
EURUSD, W Long
EURUSD 1997-2002 vs. 2012-2017 fractal

Given all the "smart" think-tanks and the vast majority expecting parity next year, probably the appeal of the opposite side of the trade doesn't need further analysis. Anyhow, the euro is tracking the fractal since 2012, as latest spike confirmed that the euro is also tracking December 2015 (posted already). A commentary to ECB's taper tantrum or the "100.2% of ...

Ecantoni Ecantoni MOD ZW1!, D, Long , 2 months ago
ZW1!: Wheat 2008-2010 expanded fractal
489 1 12
ZW1!, D Long
Wheat 2008-2010 expanded fractal

Being tracking this since September. Starting a position, as inflection point is so close, that it could reverse the trend totally out of the blue as in June 2010. -Ideal Tgt @ 50% fib ext by March -Stop @ 3.00

Ecantoni Ecantoni MOD USDJPY, 15, Short , 3 months ago
USDJPY: EURJPY daily vs. USDJPY 15 min fractal
163 2 10
USDJPY, 15 Short
EURJPY daily vs. USDJPY 15 min fractal

short USDJPY -0.53% 15 MIN fractal appears to be tracking EURJPY -0.18% 2013-2016 Q2 -1st Target 76% -STOP @ last week highs

Ecantoni Ecantoni MOD CL1!, D, Long , 3 months ago
CL1!: Crude 96-2004 fractal
274 0 10
CL1!, D Long
Crude 96-2004 fractal

-Doha Opec deal looming -Being tracking this since last Autumn, to be kept for next year along with wheat. -SL @ Nov lows -First TGT is @ neck test @ 50 then respectevly by 10 handles higher but it has to be assessed further late on.

Ecantoni Ecantoni MOD AAPL, D, Short , 10 months ago
AAPL: AAPL ahead of earnings
114 1 3
AAPL, D Short
AAPL ahead of earnings

-global sales faltering -earnings ahead -fractal looks still valid -stops at aprils highs - 7 handles tgt

Ecantoni Ecantoni MOD AAPL, D, Short , a year ago
AAPL: Apple 2000 fractal vs. now
530 2 10
AAPL, D Short
Apple 2000 fractal vs. now

The reasoning besides the fractal is quite simple: - Cook dumping shares - November orders cut by 10% - Cash wasted for monster buyback program @ ATH and dividends - No new product till next year - In doubt blame china 60min vs. daily is another interesting point of view and source of an undone mandelbrot

Ecantoni Ecantoni MOD CSCO, D, Short , a year ago
CSCO: CSCO self repeating Nov 2010
172 2 7
CSCO, D Short
CSCO self repeating Nov 2010

CSCO will report earnings on the 11/12. The picture is pretty similar to what happened on November 2010. It's hard to find fractals like this: it reminds lumber 2012/2014.

Ecantoni Ecantoni MOD ES1!, D, Short , a year ago
ES1!: Spoos keeps tracking 2011
253 5 13
ES1!, D Short
Spoos keeps tracking 2011

Spoos has proved to be tracking the 2011 fractal all over the summer and it's keeping on tracking it right now into year end. Stops on current highs and first t/p on September highs.

Ecantoni Ecantoni MOD EURGBP, D, Long , a year ago
EURGBP: TWTR in 4 fractals
130 0 5
EURGBP, D Long
TWTR in 4 fractals

In order: -TWTR October-2014 gap fill came after 3 months and a half with a similar bottom -TWTR 15m shows how the current p/a has been perfectly repeated ahead of earnings -TWTR looks to be tracking daily EURUSD 2013 and EURGBP 2009 fractals

Ecantoni Ecantoni MOD TSLA, D, Long , a year ago
TSLA: TSLA goin berserk tracking JAZZs 2012 fractal
90 0 2
TSLA, D Long
TSLA goin berserk tracking JAZZs 2012 fractal

TSLAs recent gap reversed on earnings has widely provided a further confirmation of what JAZZ did back in 2012. Even the RSIs show similar positive divergences. On the 26th of April JAZZ acquired EUSA Pharma hitting NATH the same day. How TSLA seems to be poised to squeeze further in the same way lurks into the huge float short, which remains anchored above 20%. ...

Ecantoni Ecantoni MOD LB1!, D, Short , a year ago
LB1!: Lumber 2000-2008 vs. 2009-2017
78 0 4
LB1!, D Short
Lumber 2000-2008 vs. 2009-2017

This fractal has been working for quite a while. A lower low is expected before end of November, as December is seasonally favorable for lumber.

Ecantoni Ecantoni MOD HPQ, D, Short , 2 years ago
HPQ: A fractal from Palo Alto
67 0 5
HPQ, D Short
A fractal from Palo Alto

Chart looks to be tracking an expanded version of the 2006-07 cycle. A Mandelbrot, chained in an action/reaction downtrend, which has just been tested. Swings since October 2013 are practically the same, as the inv h&s is completed now. What's impressive is the coincidence of the upcoming earnings, today AMC.

Ecantoni Ecantoni MOD ES1!, D, 2 years ago
ES1!: SP500 self repeating 2012/2013?
153 0 3
ES1!, D
SP500 self repeating 2012/2013?

This shrunk analogy looks decent, prolly the most bullish case scenario. If the model plays out, after a 10% ramp, Spoos will retest 1960 by September's witching. Current continuation H&S inv has just b/o the neck as despite the tapering, the 10y yields jaws, the fixing scandals, despite the tensions with Russia, despite the margin debt shrinking, despite the ...

Ecantoni Ecantoni MOD DY1!, W, Short , 2 years ago
DY1!: Dax analogies with 2000
242 3 8
DY1!, W Short
Dax analogies with 2000

Weekly chart. Looks like it's repeating itself with accuracy.

Ecantoni Ecantoni MOD SPY, 60, Short , 2 years ago
SPY: SPY 60 min shaping three peaks and a domed house
122 2 6
SPY, 60 Short
SPY 60 min shaping three peaks and a domed house

The pattern is almost perfect. However, if it plays out correctly the decline wont be a straight line, assuming 10 as potential tgt. The roof has been built on the Ukraine Crisis and the Russian invasion of Crimea. Whats left? A catalyst to pull down this domed house of cards.

Ecantoni Ecantoni MOD INDU, D, Short , 2 years ago
INDU: INDU tracking the end of QE2
153 5 8
INDU, D Short
INDU tracking the end of QE2

As the federal balance sheet keeps on expanding, the kind of juncture we are about to see might be tracking the end of QE2 in 2011. They will blame it on the weather, EM, China or Russia, but the reality is that after 5 years of this 10:15-centrally-planned-market the real economy is struggling again. QE has inflated everything related to the wealth effect, while ...

Ecantoni Ecantoni MOD RBS, D, 2 years ago
RBS: RBS 2009-2011 analogy
91 2 2
RBS, D
RBS 2009-2011 analogy

Fundamentals are deteriorating so it might be interesting to see if it keeps on tracking the analogy ahead of the supportive TL.

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