Ecantoni

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Markets Allocation
48 % stocks 26 % commodities 10 % indices 17 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
ES1! 4% | 5 NQ1! 4% | 5 ANR 4% | 5 EURUSD 3% | 4
Ecantoni Ecantoni CL1!, D, Short ,
CL1!: Crude vs. 06-2007
546 4 12
CL1!, D Short
Crude vs. 06-2007

Crude has been following this 2006-07 fractal for quite a while now, partially sustained by the weakness witnessed in the greenback. Chances to see weakness, before renewed straighten, seem to be implied somehow in an atypical head and shoulders to be negated after the next rollover. Then to be monitored further for assessing the exponential move it followed at ...

Ecantoni Ecantoni NASX, D, Short ,
NASX: Nasdaq composite: Everything Bubble vs. Dotcom Bubble
586 0 10
NASX, D Short
Nasdaq composite: Everything Bubble vs. Dotcom Bubble

Fractal extrapolated from the expansion of the 1998-2001 boom and bust cycle, as the current 77% surge from Jan 2016 would be basically tracking the ultime rally from 08/1999 to the dotcom top, back in March 2000. In detail, the two higher highs printed between last June and July would be matching respectively December 1999 and January 2000, before the final ...

Ecantoni Ecantoni EURJPY, 240, Short ,
EURJPY: EURJPY vs Brexit
233 2 9
EURJPY, 240 Short
EURJPY vs Brexit

Fractal pointing out many detailed analogies with Brexit. Now whatever the catalyst may be, a 50% fibo seems consistent, considering that there is also a mirror underway from the double top and that the Nikkei might be poised for a correction similar to 2 0 1 3. Discretional stops

Ecantoni Ecantoni BTCUSD, 30, Short ,
BTCUSD: BTC bubble now tracking August-September
1409 2 19
BTCUSD, 30 Short
BTC bubble now tracking August-September

Fractal extrapolated from earlier 2 0 1 7, now up 22% in less than a week . Current 6 6 0 0 resistance critical for unexpected weakness in November. A 6 3 0 0 break out would set it up for further decline and retest of at least 6 0 0 0 area.

Ecantoni Ecantoni EURJPY, 240, Short ,
EURJPY: EURJPY vs. 2015 fractal
319 1 8
EURJPY, 240 Short
EURJPY vs. 2015 fractal

Fractal extrapolated from 2015, during the continuation of the Greek "crisi" right before the referendum, is here to the current North Korean crisis. Some would prolly address it as an atypical three picks and domed house, but beyond all the drama and the war of words the cross has rallied 12% since A p r i l and valuations are stretched, especially considering ...

Ecantoni Ecantoni BTCUSD, 240, Short ,
BTCUSD: BTC vs 2013
8670 26 69
BTCUSD, 240 Short
BTC vs 2013

Fractal extrapolated from the 2 0 1 3 boom and bust suggesting weakness into end of month, a confirmed test of 2 3 0 0 area would then open the door to full bear market and lower supports.

Ecantoni Ecantoni DJI, W, Education ,
DJI: 1987- 2018 Fractal Update
1053 4 26
DJI, W Education
1987- 2018 Fractal Update

Fractal now tracking the 87 top and starting to test resistance, which might take a couple of weeks more ( the comparison daily/weekly here is on purpose as what has been led us here is the mere structure). Beyond the potential catalysts on the table ( too many actually for choosing one ) for a downturn of 87 proportion in 2018, the next two swings gotta be ...

Ecantoni Ecantoni FDX, 120, Short ,
FDX: FedEx Fractal Update
114 0 5
FDX, 120 Short
FedEx Fractal Update

Model now tracking mid June 2015, back then at new all time high, just as today. Dow lagging behind looking for its own final top around the 21400 area. Ideal target of 20 handles in the wake of earnings, discretional stops as always.

Ecantoni Ecantoni YM1!, 30,
YM1!: Dow April-May Fractal Update
125 0 6
YM1!, 30
Dow April-May Fractal Update

Dow model spotted 20 days ago still running, now tracking early May. Lateral price action likely to continue till NFP, then price action won't be just data dependent due to looming elections in the UK and potentially other shockers from North Korea or Greece. If still spot on by mid June, chances of weakness would suggest 20700 retest then.

Ecantoni Ecantoni XAUUSD, D, Long ,
XAUUSD: Gold Fractal
259 0 13
XAUUSD, D Long
Gold Fractal

Extrapolation taken from 08-09 and expanded. Currently reacting on static support. Macd strategy signal not shown yet. Targeting 60 handle upwards before reiterated weakness. Discretional trailing stops

Ecantoni Ecantoni YM1!, 30,
YM1!: Dow's April Fractal
128 0 10
YM1!, 30
Dow's April Fractal

Dow model confirmed this morning seems to be tracking April's swings, even if it is currently a bit front-running the 12th there's a first look at 20700 handle for the next sessions. Further weakness would confirm the fractal and warn for potential strength into the end of the month.

Ecantoni Ecantoni EURUSD, 120, Long ,
EURUSD: Remastered EURUSD 2016 fractal
263 0 9
EURUSD, 120 Long
Remastered EURUSD 2016 fractal

*Structure now tracking march 2016 targeting above 1.10 *Compelling data to be released ahead *Discretionary stop

Ecantoni Ecantoni AMZN, 240, Short ,
AMZN: Amazon 2016 Fractal
148 0 5
AMZN, 240 Short
Amazon 2016 Fractal

*Extrapolation derived from 2016, now tracking November right ahead of earnings *Ideal target to be scaled starting from 850 area. Discretionary stops

Ecantoni Ecantoni LULU, 240, Short ,
LULU: LULU fractal
90 0 3
LULU, 240 Short
LULU fractal

*extrapolation from 2012-2014 *currently tracking December 2013 *discretionary stop, support breakout eyes ideal target 10 handles lower

Ecantoni Ecantoni HG1!, D, Short ,
HG1!: Seasonality on High Grade vs. Fractal
262 3 13
HG1!, D Short
Seasonality on High Grade vs. Fractal

*7 yrs seasonality suggesting upcoming weakness *Fractal extrapolated from 1991 matching. Stop at 2017 highs, first ideal target at Fibo 50%

Ecantoni Ecantoni FDX, D, Short ,
FDX: FedEx 2014-2015 Fractal
77 0 7
FDX, D Short
FedEx 2014-2015 Fractal

*Fractal of 9 months extrapolation taken from 2014-2015 with no modification *Current levels tracking march 2015 right before earnings even at that time *The levels of capex have been sliding in the last 2 yrs while the debt/equity has grown partly to sustain the huge buyback program started in back in 2016, which defended four times the price action with the ...

Ecantoni Ecantoni SGMO, D, Long ,
SGMO: Fractal on Sangamo
109 0 7
SGMO, D Long
Fractal on Sangamo

*Fractal extrapolation from 2008-09 cycle *Ideal entry @ 4 handle area. Stop one handle *Pipeline promising, despite overall in early stages

Ecantoni Ecantoni EURUSD, 15,
EURUSD: EURUSD fractal ahead of NFP
345 7 13
EURUSD, 15
EURUSD fractal ahead of NFP

*repetition coming out of the 1/11 track, centered on the looming nfp *high volatility to be expected in both sides so no rush to get in

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