Victor.Y.F

Bulls are gonna be back soon, after many bear traps of cause.

Long
Victor.Y.F Updated   
FX:JPN225   Nikkei 225 Index
1, USdollar and DXY index are leading the way of global indexes.
2, If you think dollars are gonna drop then you have a speculative sentiment which means wrong direction.
3, Please checkout commodities future markets there are somethings have been broken already.
4, Please look at XAUUSD monthly chart.
5, Please look at my long term DXY monthly chart. FRB is correcting their inflation mistakes, last rates rising was failed in 2004 and it's causing huge risks and losting commodity price control.
6, Do not short stocks please.
7, Do not long gold, although the silver is very interesting but better not long it too because long stocks is the best.
8, Correlations with DXY, USD/JPY, EUR/USD negative correlation.
9, Thank you for your like!
Comment:
Turns out the retrace is to small to be seen:
Sorry for my lazy … From my DXY analisys: (DXY, SPX500, new high)
1, Double harmonic buttefly is forming in daily and weekly chart. Be careful here now. A 1.272-1.414 butterlfy is a usually seen pattern from chart USDJPY or DXY and Nikkei225 as well.
2, A DXY new high will be there for Chrismas gifts. EURO new low should be a washing out.
3, Watching out XAU and EURJPY dropping to new low, cloud be a nice chance too.
Comment:
I always watch stocks’ index speculative sentiments, I can tell you guys that it’s all net short now.
Comment:
Mmmm… … Nikkei225 is a quiet time lagging index, I think the retrace will be there to form right shoulder. This chart looks very strange without a right shoulder compares the DXY index. So a nice chance there.
Comment:
Almost there, I don’t think the stock markets will colapse before Chrismas. I always look weighted JPY chart, JPY will be weak for supporting risk correlation assets. Global stock markets will hold untill march 2016.
Comment:
Just like what I’m predicted. Now let’s see if a 5 points trianlge is forming or just a 5 wave up impluse. BTW I’ve studied diamond pattern today. It’s a pattern can go up or down. It’s not a top or bottom pattern and it’s too hard to trade.
Comment:
5 point triangle is forming just like it's showed 18 days ago. Do not panic by JPY's strong it'll be weak, soon.
Comment:
Like I said do not panic.
The BOJ is buying more bunds and more ETF, more heavy employee company stocks for supporting economic. As inflation will go down they have no choice but continue to do it.
I'm telling you guys the truth here what's you never think about it and ever will think about.
The question is : "If central banks like FRB and BOJ or ECB really wants to push inflation up, why they don't just buy the commodities?"
Comment:
BOJ cut their bunds rates to balance more QQE today and they admit that 2% inflation target will never archive by using regular calculation method. So we did have some scared scenarios but if Yuan is stable then we'll see a triangle break out with a happy new year 2016! And merry Christmas!
Comment:
This is still valid. The correction will end at 17700 by SNB's intervention and BOJ 's more purchasing ETFs.
Comment:
18000 and seven swings have been done. Time to wake up. I don't think BOJ would like to risk stock market in a US election year.
Comment:
Let all bears be trapped tonight. And same time, I'm going to the cinema for watching Starwars movie.
Comment:
Interestingly this one is still valid. I've mistaken the new low because I used DXY comparation with close price but not the low price. So after I use the low price, it shows that this one must test new low where I see 200 weeks SMA support and Oct. 2014 low testing. Pay attention to the USDJPY, it's a down trend now and will have negative correlation with NIKKEI.
Comment:
Indexes will drop soon and a JPY rebalance.
Comment:
Bullish with Yen's rising, to the Japan inflation top.
Comment:
Bullish with Yen's rising but not the China stocks market.
Comment:
The Yen and the stocks indexes correlation has been changed since Brexit and the second US hike.
Comment:
The news about the Governor Kuroda will retire after the April 2018 triggered a Nikkei225 quickly correction, a very good opportunity for following up with the trend.
Comment:
Still working.
Comment:
Traders! RISK OFF mode!
Please leave stock market or hedge your shares now!
Please look back 2015 crashing. DXY may go down to 86.50 then rises to receive capital squeezing!
1; VIX above 20 again.
2; EA crossed 1.5800 EU zone inflation may go to -2%.
3; Renminbi's devaluation like the Aug. 2015.
4; China incident on March.
Scalpers in forex market should hold short term. It's enough to avoid this kind of risk.
Comment:
2021/2/11 Beijing time 03:48
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