Kumowizard

NAS100 - Short entry on 1 Hr time frame

Short
FX:NAS100   US 100 Cash CFD
0
Since Bulls (Algos, HFTs, or who knows....) did not let to correct this mkt even a little bit, I think this levitation will end with a sudden 1,5 - 2,5 % drop, within one or two days.

1 Hr chart is the most interesting now, but as usual, I start with the higher time frames.

Daily: Not much change since my last post (please see attached). DMI-ADX combo is extreme, Slow Stoch and MACD turning bearish. Price is far above the Kumo. While Ichimoku setup is bullish, this mkt has become stretched and extremely overbought. A correction is due.

4 Hrs: DMI-ADX seems loosing a bit of bullish momentum. Price likely crossing down Kijun sen which same time will bring a Tenkan/Kijun weak bearish cross as well. Chikou Span is gettingclose to price candles, it can easily cross down.

1 Hr: Bearish biased sideaway move. Second attempt for a bearish Kumo break. DMI bearish, but ADX not yet high enough. Clearly we are about to get a nice short entry signal. Place sell order: 3904 Stop Sell / 3913 Limit Sell OCO, Initial stop at 3922.

Support levels are: 3855-3860 / 3810 / 3725

I already accumulated 3800 and 3850 strike Put options, also added some bearish 3850/3800 Put spreads.
Today I will try to enter some outright short positions too. 3855 is not a big deal, will be easy to catch. That is already a bit more than 1:2 risk/reward. But if we get lucky, in a few more waves we can see a deeper correction down to minimum 3815, or even lower...???.... noooooo stocks can only go up ;-). So let's just tgt 3815 first, then we'll see.

p.s.: It's unbelievable that this video is almost 4 years old! :-D
www.youtube.com/watch?v=jllJ-HeE...


Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.