GreenfieldAnalysis

Why one cannot be completely bullish or completely bearish?

Education
NASDAQ:NFLX   Netflix, Inc.
Why one cannot be completely bullish or completely bearish?

The stock market consists of two major players. Some people are long traders they bet the stock price will go higher. They buy low and sell at a high price to make a profit. Some long traders buy the stock at a high price and sell at an even higher price. Some long traders look for bargain stocks.

Some other people bet the stock price will go lower. They are short-sellers. They don't own the stock initially, but they borrow the stocks from the stockbrokers and sell the stocks from a high price, then when the price drop they repurchase the stocks back at the lower price, return what they initially borrowed with interest back to the stockbrokers, and then profit the price difference.

We can interpret the security market as a continuous tug of war game between the long traders and short traders. Sometimes one side will win the game, and in that situation, the price will advance higher or lower. Sometimes one side will gain strength that means the price will speed up and advance faster. Sometimes one side will win, but then go in the opposite direction temporarily and that is a correction. Sometimes one side will win but will lose strength completely and reverse direction completely. Due to the rapid changes in the security market, one trader cannot be 100% bullish or 100% bearish.

Therefore, a market opinion may be "I am 70% bearish, and 30% bullish." That simply means that I am 70% confident that the price will go lower, but I reserve 30% market opinion that the price may hit a bottom and may reverse direction and go higher as the market story develops. When that happens, I am ready to liquidate my short position and willing to participate in the opposite direction or stay on the sideline.

Thank you for reading!

Greenfield

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Disclosure: Chart interpreted by Greenfield. Just a market opinion by Greenfield Analysis LLC for only educational purposes. This is not a recommendation. Greenfield Analysis LLC has no investment in any of the securities mentioned in the article, and no plan to initiate a trade in any of the securities mentioned. Greenfield does not receive any compensation for this writing. Investment involves substantial risk. You should consider carefully before making an investment. Investment at your own risk.
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