FX:NGAS   Natural Gas (Henry Hub)
3688 48 56
I've started to post an Energy / Stock / Metal Trade for the followers to trade.
I will post the update in the "update status" section of the portfolio post.
Starting capital is 10.000 $ in each portfolio. When I close the actual trade I will move the whole amount to the next trade - in this case it will be Energy trade X.


I moved 10.000$ starting capital+12.660$ profit and the rest of the opened positions:
1000 ARP             long 0,8$

Selling 5000 US Natural Gas             August
Margin Impact : 1457$ (6,4%)
Price: 2,772

It's just too far from the 200 EMA . I would like to see a 200 EMA test or a trendline testback.
Comment: Trendline is broken.
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Comment: Selling 5000 Us Natural Gas August at 2.680
Comment: Just a trendline testback. Check on 4 hrs.
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Comment: Correction is on the way...
Bollinger band crash signal this late in the daily cycle is the sign of the decline is starting.
Also the bearish pin bar is supporting our short.
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Comment: Selling 5000 Natural Gas August at 2.840$.
Comment: Total position 15.000 US Natural Gas August short.
Average price: 2.764
Comment: ARP is in +50% in the last trading hour.
Tomorrow might be the big day when we get out in the next +50-100%.
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Comment: Buying 500 US CRude August at 46.84$
Stop : 45.40$.
Comment: I have a feeling NatGas hasn't finished its rally yet. It looks like a half cycle low now, so I'm closing the position with a small gain.
Closing 15.000 US NatGas August short at 2.7$
Comment: Total gain on the NatGas business : 0.0064 x 15.000= 960$
Comment: NatGAs finally starting to look good for the short...
I closed this trade already but hose who are still in could be profitable. We are in the bear flag seems want to break down ...
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Seeing divergence on 1 day and 1 hr. Also quite detached from EMA 20. Also it is time.
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Why do you think NGAS already topped? thanks
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I would like to follow the trade and I do believe NGAS needs a retracement... but I think it may hit 3 bucks before droping. I am starting with a small short position of DGAZ to try it out.. I am confused about the ARP long position mentioned above. Why long a natural gas company and short the commodity? I would like to follow the trade as usual, but please some clarification would be nice.
Thanks
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nexuz nnavarrete
he went long on ARP about a couple of weeks ago - so far the company didnt recover. he just mentioned it to list up all open positions in the energy trades :)
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i'm in trade my target is 2.6632. tnk's good idea
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i see divergence in h1 waiting h4 and d1
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xiiimik giovannicanu
Hey, that was my comment) See above.
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sorry :)
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Adding voice to @nnavarrette.
Target 1: $ 2.92
Target 2: $ 3.101
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you long everything :D
+1 Reply
robus austinchan
No. haha. Shorting gold since 1278.
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robus robus
Haha.. this tanked. I exited 2.75. lol
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robus robus
Umm first target achieved. Towards second :)
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Thanks for sharing.
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Thanks as always for sharing Apri :) wow that's a huge fallback coming
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fingers crossed dude, GL to us
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oilyprata jangseohee
nice charts! thanks for sharing! :)
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Nice chart good work. Hope we don't need the right shoulder just strait down to 2.2
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investment6300 jangseohee
Hi how you feel this NGAS trade is going now?
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So Money Thanks Arpi!
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Thanks for the update Arpi :)
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SL for NGAS? - it seems like its going up with USOIL
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Looks to be back above the trendline. Could this have been a false breakout/breakdown as we have seen in gold and oil recently?
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SharkbaitAl SharkbaitAl
That update answered that question, thanks :) Your insights are always very much appreciated and a great learning opportunity!
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In short at 2.70
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Hi how you feel this NGAS trade is going now? was it reconciliation and need to get out of trade?
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Were is places to trade NGAS?
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ETF's like DGAZ (3x inverse Natural gaz) and UGAZ (3x long Natural Gaz)
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Hi chartwatchers... i believe we ll see 3,06 before a good retrace. Cheers
+1 Reply
Looks very bullish trend
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UNG momentum is too strong to short
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Nice call on the 2.92 @robus. I'm nibbling in DGAZ at 6.72 (NGAS at 2.929). Let's watch tomorrow to see if we get to 3.06 or 3.1 for target #2 for a bigger nibble. Happy end of month, quarter, 1/2 year everyone. And thank you @chartwatchers for correcting some of my losing ways this last month with your insights! Great success to all in the 2nd 1/2!
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wow... u think ARP will add 50-100 tomoro?
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Hi Chartwatcher,

I am curious if you hold your natgas short positions. You mentioned you sold 15000 natgas August average at 2.764.You are under the water deeply if i am correct. I would like to know how you handle that situation? You don't set SL?

Yesterday i started to sell natgas, today added a bit more. It seems like natgas still going north.

Thanks.
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Natural gas I feel is probably the most rigged market you can play...shooting star/reversal candles are used as bait to get the suckers in......when you are convinced you are at the high, you will get stopped with another high impulse move, RSI goes out of the window...just look at the weekly charts going back and you will see this is an impossible market to win on unless you are on the inside pulling the strings.....stick to main commodities Oil/GAs or for more safety indices/currencies
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watsonzou26 Trendhopper
It was so true.
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Hey,,looks like the ngas is gonna finish tomorrow,,,amazing rally,,maybe short @ 3,06,,,but just a little,,,
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watsonzou26 MassimoMattioli
3.13 looks like next stop. I am going to load up some more at this level.
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Trendhopper watsonzou26
Keep Dreaming....look at Feb 2014...Price increased by 50% in 1 month before crashing back down
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I agree. Only holding a small short, so exposure is minimal, but think I will close it at opening and see how it goes on.
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How is buying 500 US CRUDE related to NGAS?
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Everything related to energy, crude oil, ngas, energy company shares are grouped together in this chart. You can also check out Arpi's precious metal trades, and stock trades.
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AlbertaOil sandhusukhjit
What is your target for NGAS downtrend and what is the solid reason.....
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Hi Apri any comments further on Ngas, How do you feel about the head and shoulders as reversal, the reversal down strength still in this short? Went in late after bear flag break down and was not good entry in follow up bear flag. Bear flag breakdown was confirmation for me of reversal. trend and force seems there. Feel still weary after a big opening.
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chartwatchers PRO investment6300
Could you send me a chart and highlight the H&S?
I just posted NatGas
NatGAs - Waiting for the cycle low
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investment6300 chartwatchers
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