FX:NZDJPY New Zealand Dollar/Japanese Yen
Thoughts in the chart.
You're right, the odds are to the upside. However, it's been pretty messy recently. I'm afraid, the yen's weakness may soon be exhausted, and I'd be cautious betting on the yen's weakness in the coming hours. I also don't like the market hugging the basic trend line so closely, it may give way to some sell-off.