You're right, the odds are to the upside. However, it's been pretty messy recently. I'm afraid, the yen's weakness may soon be exhausted, and I'd be cautious betting on the yen's weakness in the coming hours. I also don't like the market hugging the basic trend line so closely, it may give way to some sell-off.
You're right. For now the price has (remarkably) stayed within my lines, but any correction, even a major one, seems like a great buying opportunity still. Unless something changes at the BoJ or in Abe's mind (or if he gets fired?), the big trend is Yen weakness.
I agree, the yen's weakness continues to be reliable. My only concern here is the kiwi's ability to strengthen enough to be able break out above those swing highs. But I like the support level at 82.8, the way it's held - it bodes well for your position.