sedemmler

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About me Small long/short global equities hedge fund portfolio manager.
Last visit Joined 3 years ago USA SEDemmler demmlerinvestmentgroup.com
Markets Allocation
19 % forex 2 % stocks 79 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
NZDJPY 12% | 6 AUDJPY 12% | 6 USDCHF 8% | 4 GBPCHF 6% | 3
sedemmler sedemmler AUDJPY, D, a year ago
AUDJPY: AUD/JPY Short
14 0 0
AUDJPY, D
AUD/JPY Short
Divergence trade here. Stops at 87.35 or so, looking for at least a test of the up channel, which is around 86.20, at the moment. A 80 win/ 40 loss trades, which satistfies our goal of never falling below a 2:1 R:R ratio.
sedemmler sedemmler EURJPY, D, Short , a year ago
EURJPY: eur/jpy decision
15 0 1
EURJPY, D Short
eur/jpy decision
No decision here. Just for my reference.
sedemmler sedemmler EURCAD, D, Short , a year ago
EURCAD:  eur/cad short
14 0 1
EURCAD, D Short
eur/cad short
November has been very strong for the Canadian dollar over the past ten years. The macro market is nuts currently, and Poloz/the BoC may be forced to ease more in the future but for now, this looks like a break to the downside.
sedemmler sedemmler GBPCHF, 60, Long , a year ago
GBPCHF: GBP/CHF Long
17 0 0
GBPCHF, 60 Long
GBP/CHF Long
In the chart.
sedemmler sedemmler NZDJPY, D, 2 years ago
NZDJPY: One of these NZD/JPY levels must die
9 0 0
NZDJPY, D
One of these NZD/JPY levels must die
RBNZ has hinted at an easier monetary stance; Bloomberg carried a story today suggesting the BOJ is content for now with their monetary stance, which would likely be expressed in the market as Yen strength and Kiwi weakness. Trends are trends, though. One of these levels must die.
sedemmler sedemmler NZDUSD, D, Short , 2 years ago
NZDUSD: NZD/USD Short
28 1 2
NZDUSD, D Short
NZD/USD Short
Wait for the blowout tomorrow from GDP and FOMC, then, let the RBNZ's Stevens and an improving second American quarter sink this pair.
sedemmler sedemmler GBPJPY, D, 2 years ago
GBPJPY: GBP/JPY -- Longer Term View
30 0 0
GBPJPY, D
GBP/JPY -- Longer Term View
In August of 2014 the pair broke out to the topside. Since late December we are in what I usually call on shorter timeframe's "buyer's remorse," although, it is harder to apply that to a timeframe like this because of macroeconomic trends and unforeseen geopolitical risks. However, the British elections are getting ...
sedemmler sedemmler NUVA, D, Long , 2 years ago
NUVA: Buy NUVA
13 0 0
NUVA, D Long
Buy NUVA
Broken range + hot healthcare sector + across the board upgrades + positive earnings outlook = buy NUVA
sedemmler sedemmler USDCAD, D, Long , 2 years ago
USDCAD: A short term move against a longer-term play
41 0 1
USDCAD, D Long
A short term move against a longer-term play
If you're inclined to take calculated shots against what looks to be a strong longer-term move, then I've got a chart for you. USD/CAD is oversold according to the RSI on every time frame from 15m up to the Daily. There's bullish convergence here on the daily chart as well. Also, it seems the pair just broke a weak ...
sedemmler sedemmler GEO, D, Long , 2 years ago
GEO: Go to Prison with Geo Group
40 1 1
GEO, D Long
Go to Prison with Geo Group
Geo Group recently touched a multi-year bottom of $31.00. Following that they announced the reopening of a250 bed facility in California and a dividend of .57/q. The aggregate analyst target is $41.00. I am a little more conservative. They are one of the bigger names in the for-profit American prison game and have ...
sedemmler sedemmler CADJPY, D, Long , 2 years ago
CADJPY: CAD/JPY
39 3 1
CADJPY, D Long
CAD/JPY
Rationale in the chart. *Risky play. Closed for a profit at the stated profit-target.
sedemmler sedemmler TRYJPY, 240, 2 years ago
TRYJPY: TRY/JPY
56 0 0
TRYJPY, 240
TRY/JPY
This isn't a trade call. It's me seeking out public opinion. I've never traded the Lira, so I'd love to hear from some of you who have experience with it.
sedemmler sedemmler AUDNZD, D, 2 years ago
AUDNZD: AUDNZD: The day of reckoning?
86 2 0
AUDNZD, D
AUDNZD: The day of reckoning?
In the chart.
sedemmler sedemmler USDCHF, 240, Long , 2 years ago
USDCHF: A Usd/Chf long in the making
58 0 0
USDCHF, 240 Long
A Usd/Chf long in the making
My favorite reversal/bounce set up: convergence with volume momentum heading to the upside. At the beginning of the week I suggested this pair, and it's look like a non-starter so far, but the set up is there and with the SNB always watching a play from around .8850 here with an s/l at .8800 and t/p at (at least?) ...
sedemmler sedemmler NZDJPY, D, 2 years ago
NZDJPY: nzd/jpy
57 3 0
NZDJPY, D
nzd/jpy
Keeping an eye on potential consolidation.
sedemmler sedemmler AUDJPY, D, Short , 2 years ago
AUDJPY: Aud/Jpy
80 9 0
AUDJPY, D Short
Aud/Jpy
Searching for ideas here. What do you think of this one?
sedemmler sedemmler EURJPY, 240, Long , 2 years ago
EURJPY: EURJPY Long
50 0 0
EURJPY, 240 Long
EURJPY Long
Rationale in the chart.
sedemmler sedemmler USDCHF, 240, Long , 2 years ago
USDCHF: Long Dollar Versus Swissie
120 2 1
USDCHF, 240 Long
Long Dollar Versus Swissie
Rationale is in the chart. *Update: You can ignore that rationale in the chart. This one was wrong, wrong, wrong. Mostly due to the situation in Ukraine causing a sustained flight to the CHF safe haven.
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CL1!
LIGHT CRUDE OIL FUTURES
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AUDUSD
Australian Dollar/U.S. Dollar
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EURUSD
Euro Fx/U.S. Dollar
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CLU2013
LIGHT CRUDE OIL FUTURES
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USDJPY
U.S. Dollar/Japanese Yen
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