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Our opinion on the current state of PAN

JSE:PAN   PAN AFRICAN RESOURCE PLC
Pan African Resources, dual-listed on the London and Johannesburg Stock Exchanges, operates as a re-treatment gold producer, prominently featuring its Elikhulu plant. This facility positions the company to produce approximately 700,000 ounces of gold annually at a cost of around R450,564 per kilogram, significantly below the current gold price close to R1 million. Such efficiency suggests that over its lifetime, Elikhulu is projected to generate revenue of about R15 billion, with R5.3 billion reinvested into the economy through mine expenses, highlighting the operation's profitability and low-risk profile. The plant's operation will also create jobs for 350 individuals, underscoring its economic contribution.

Further demonstrating its commitment to sustainability and efficiency, Pan African Resources has greenlit the construction of a 10 MW solar power plant, aligning with global trends towards renewable energy in the mining sector.

For the six months ending on 31st December 2023, the company reported a 6.7% increase in gold production and all-in sustaining costs (AISC) of $1287 per ounce, which is competitive given the gold price hovering just over $2000. The period saw headline earnings surge by 46.4% and earnings per share (EPS) increase by 46.1%. The company maintained healthy liquidity, with immediate access to cash reserves of US$31.3 million and undrawn facilities amounting to US$86.4 million by the end of the reporting period.

The stock has exhibited an upward trend since reaching a low of 288c in June 2023, reflecting positive investor sentiment and the company's operational success. However, despite the apparent operational strengths and financial health of Pan African Resources, the inherent volatility in gold prices and the mining sector at large suggests a degree of investment risk.

Investors are advised to exercise caution, especially considering the speculative nature of gold investments. The potential for the gold price to break above the long-term resistance level of $2070 presents an enticing prospect for speculative investment, yet it underscores the need for investors to remain vigilant and informed about market dynamics and the company's performance.

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