lauralea

Head and Shoulders

Short
NASDAQ:POOL   Pool Corporation
Price has broken the neckline but there is not a confirmed downtrend.
Price has delved below the neckline several times recently and the move down was not sustained.
Dipping below the neckline with this pattern is a warning sign and it does not feel like a bull market anymore. This pattern does best in a bear market and the Inverse H&S does better in a bull market.

Maybe the economy will not be conducive for the pool industry in the near term? Makes sense I suppose, but this is a great company. POOL made a lot of gains and a bunch of buyers, so there may be a lot of sellers if the selling gets started.
Negative volume is still high, so maybe I spoke too soon. The neckline is support until broken with a downtrend in place. I just know I am not buying this right now.

If I were to short this I would place my stop above the neckline after a downtrend is evident.
A guy called CNBC yesterday and asked him if he should keep this and the talking head said to keep it. It made me take a look as after I thought about it, this did not seem like an industry that would do well during a sketchy economy?

Just because price is doing poorly, does not mean it can't do worse.

No recommendation.
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