If you trust Bill Ackman, his new SPAC NYSE:PSTH.U looks like a great candidate for a very short-term covered call position. Ackman has been on fire lately. Last year his flagship fund Pershing Square Holdings was up 58% and this year to date he’s up 46% after he turned a $27 million hedging position into $2.6 billion as markets tanked in March.
What’s a SPAC?
A SPAC (Special Purpose Acquisition Company) is a blank check company used to take a private company public. Instead of raising capital in a public offering, a private company can merge with a SPAC and get a guaranteed injection of cash at a predetermined price. Transaction costs and uncertainty are much lower. Management at a company looking to go public should prefer to go public via a SPAC as long as Ackman gives them the same valuation they would get from a traditional IPO.
You can do this trade by simply buying 100 shares and then selling a call against it, but we did this trade synthetically using 3 options:
Bought the March 18, 2021 $20 Call @ 3.90
Sold the March 18, 2021 $20 Put @ 1.75
Sold the September 18, 2020 $25 Call @ 0.35
Synthetic Covered Call
A synthetic covered call is constructed by buying an at the money call and selling an at the money put and then selling another out of the money call. You get the same profit and loss graph as a normal covered call, but with no dividends (not a problem here) and with reduced capital outlay.
PSTH.U closed at $21.83 on the day of our trade, so instead of using $2183 in cash for 100 shares, we used $862 in margin and took a position twice as large as our normal position size by going synthetic for the same capital outlay. We sold a short-dated out of the money call to help reduce our initial cost basis to the current trading price of PSTH/U, since the March 2021 options don’t have much liquidity. We may sell a few more covered calls against this position to bring our cost basis down to $20, which was the price of the SPAC's IPO and the redemption value of the SPAC's cash in trust.
Redemption Value: PSTH.U shareholders have the option to redeem their shares for the $20 IPO price after the merger is announced. Let’s assume the market doesn’t look favorably on Ackman’s deal, PSTH.U shareholders can redeem their shares for $20 and exit before the merger is completed. Read the full prospectus for details (including scenarios where you might get less than $20, its complex). However, for us, this puts an effective floor on PSTH.U’s value at $20. If we want to stay conservative (and we are), we’ll sell calls to get our cost basis closer to $20.
However, if you are bullish on Ackman like we are, we do not recommend selling calls against this position for an extended period. If a merger announcement is positively received by the market, the price will gap up instantly as investors realize they can immediately participate in the newly merged company’s equity via a position in PSTH.U. Those of us invested in PSTH.U have looked on in envy as KCAC (another SPAC) just struck a deal to take Quantumscape (an EV battery-maker) public. Shares in KCAC closed up 87% the day after merger news. This is why you don’t want to be stuck with a short call in PSTH.U when the merger news comes out. If the news is extremely positive, you might give up a huge windfall. Since SPACs have a limited lifespan, 2 years usually, as time continues it becomes increasingly dangerous to have a short call open on PSTH.U if your ultimate goal is to have a long position in Ackman’s merger pick.
Our objectives for short call income generation against this position are as follows:
Initial Objective: $0.32 (Recover Liquidity Loss)
Secondary Objective: $1.83 (Reduce cost basis to the Redemption Value)
We completed our initial objective by selling the Sep 18, 2020 call at $0.35 and we entered this trade $0.03 below the cost of going long. Again, our goal here is simply to increase our buying power on a trade we consder low-risk due to the redemption option. We may continue to sell calls for a limited time until we get our basis to $20. We don’t want to have a long call open at the time the merger is announced.
20-PSTHU-01
Chart Legend
What’s a SPAC?
A SPAC (Special Purpose Acquisition Company) is a blank check company used to take a private company public. Instead of raising capital in a public offering, a private company can merge with a SPAC and get a guaranteed injection of cash at a predetermined price. Transaction costs and uncertainty are much lower. Management at a company looking to go public should prefer to go public via a SPAC as long as Ackman gives them the same valuation they would get from a traditional IPO.
You can do this trade by simply buying 100 shares and then selling a call against it, but we did this trade synthetically using 3 options:
Bought the March 18, 2021 $20 Call @ 3.90
Sold the March 18, 2021 $20 Put @ 1.75
Sold the September 18, 2020 $25 Call @ 0.35
Synthetic Covered Call
A synthetic covered call is constructed by buying an at the money call and selling an at the money put and then selling another out of the money call. You get the same profit and loss graph as a normal covered call, but with no dividends (not a problem here) and with reduced capital outlay.
PSTH.U closed at $21.83 on the day of our trade, so instead of using $2183 in cash for 100 shares, we used $862 in margin and took a position twice as large as our normal position size by going synthetic for the same capital outlay. We sold a short-dated out of the money call to help reduce our initial cost basis to the current trading price of PSTH/U, since the March 2021 options don’t have much liquidity. We may sell a few more covered calls against this position to bring our cost basis down to $20, which was the price of the SPAC's IPO and the redemption value of the SPAC's cash in trust.
Redemption Value: PSTH.U shareholders have the option to redeem their shares for the $20 IPO price after the merger is announced. Let’s assume the market doesn’t look favorably on Ackman’s deal, PSTH.U shareholders can redeem their shares for $20 and exit before the merger is completed. Read the full prospectus for details (including scenarios where you might get less than $20, its complex). However, for us, this puts an effective floor on PSTH.U’s value at $20. If we want to stay conservative (and we are), we’ll sell calls to get our cost basis closer to $20.
However, if you are bullish on Ackman like we are, we do not recommend selling calls against this position for an extended period. If a merger announcement is positively received by the market, the price will gap up instantly as investors realize they can immediately participate in the newly merged company’s equity via a position in PSTH.U. Those of us invested in PSTH.U have looked on in envy as KCAC (another SPAC) just struck a deal to take Quantumscape (an EV battery-maker) public. Shares in KCAC closed up 87% the day after merger news. This is why you don’t want to be stuck with a short call in PSTH.U when the merger news comes out. If the news is extremely positive, you might give up a huge windfall. Since SPACs have a limited lifespan, 2 years usually, as time continues it becomes increasingly dangerous to have a short call open on PSTH.U if your ultimate goal is to have a long position in Ackman’s merger pick.
Our objectives for short call income generation against this position are as follows:
Initial Objective: $0.32 (Recover Liquidity Loss)
Secondary Objective: $1.83 (Reduce cost basis to the Redemption Value)
We completed our initial objective by selling the Sep 18, 2020 call at $0.35 and we entered this trade $0.03 below the cost of going long. Again, our goal here is simply to increase our buying power on a trade we consder low-risk due to the redemption option. We may continue to sell calls for a limited time until we get our basis to $20. We don’t want to have a long call open at the time the merger is announced.
20-PSTHU-01
- Opening Date: Sep 4, 2020
- Expiration Date: March 19, 2021
- DTE: 196
- IV: 33.29%
- IV Percentile: N/A (less than 1 year trading)
- Odds of Winning: 54.55%
- Odds of Losing: 45.45%
- Win: > 21.80 @ Expiration
- Loss: < 21.80 @ Expiration
- Reg-T Margin: $862
Chart Legend
- Green Area: 100% Win Zone. If we finish above or in the green area, we’ve made a profit on our synthetic covered call. Since our position has a long call that means our potential gain is unlimited after Sep 18, 2020. Up to Sep 18, we are limited in our gain by our short $25 call.
- Red Area: If we finish in this area we have a loss. The size of the red area is the size of our maximum loss. Since we’ve sold a naked put we have losses all the way to $0.
- 1 standard deviation, 2 standard deviation, 3 standard deviation projections from Opening Date to Expiration Date are included.