DerekD_

$RGLD - Switchin things up a bit

Long
NASDAQ:RGLD   Royal Gold, Inc.
Usually wouldn't even waste my time on a chart this ugly, but it was a toss up between posting the failed breakout of $DXY vs a legitimate contrarian play if you like buying at the very bottom. If the drawings look a little too extra - they're not. I've seen this pattern on a regular basis when I was either too quick on a jump to short (but ripped my hair out because price was range bound) or too quick to try & make a quick profit from the bottom up (but ripped my hair out because it wasn't time for a breakout). Without making it complex - it's patterns lime these that I made gave their own category for just because it was a predictable (breakout) move just by the bar count. The biggest problem with catching a bottom like this - if you're like me, is the possibility a breakout that only produces a small profit, & price just moves up to a (slightly higher) range bound for a bit. Time decay weighs on your patience & you get out to find a MOMO trade (guilty). Fib re-trace is based off a 223% price target, but seeing as price is below trend without moving averages confirming the downtrend - best bet is for a 141%-161% test of highs to prevent a break of the 180 weighted (blue). Pattern category is "110 breakout" - whereas candle after break of support from a gap down is #1, & the #110 candle (whether bottom or top of price range) is your entry. The 3 yellow lines indicate other potential entires (55, 75, 110 tend to be points of interest) if you're tryna get long. Fair warning - trustworthy pattern to me more-so on intraday charts to get a better sense of support, but like I said, a real contrarian play to say the least. More than happy to leave a few examples since to give a better perspective.


Ex. 1 -
Ex. 2 www.tradingview.com/chart/wCCVOIbU/

Ex 3.

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.