rjchilia123

The heroine addict will overdose on stimulus into a Recession

SP:SPX   S&P 500 Index
The heroine addict (market) seems to only care about this rate cut and stimulus from the drug dealer (the fed). For example: last Friday we had a better than expected jobs report which is good news because good jobs reports indicate a good economy, yet the Dow fell over 100 points because it may hurt its rate cut chances. The heroine addict only cares about getting its dosage from the dealer and the whole bear market in Q4 2018 was the addict going into withdrawal, until the dealer saved the addict with another dose of stimulus. Everyone thinks the rate cuts coming up in July are bullish; which they are for the short term, but every time the fed has went from a rate hike cycle, to keeping rates the same, to cutting rates, we have been in a recession within 6 months of the first cut. For example in July 2007 we had the first cut and in October 2007 market peaked. We are at historically low interest rates, and Trump claims we have the best economy in American history. If we have the best economy in American history why would we need to cut interest rates and do all this quantitive easing when we already have historically low interest rates. We should be raising interest rates because we have such high levels of Government, Corporate, and personal debt due to artificially low interest rates. It is just a matter of time before the addict overdoses and goes into recession. My soonest target to start the recession is this September 2019, but I think it will likely take longer before we are in recession, my max target is March 2021.

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