A breakdown below 1821 is still not there. And therefore, no new long term bear trend was established..
The recent rejection and buying pressure at that level(1821) suggested that we will probably be in a tug of war between buyers and sellers, and could witness more indecisive sideways fluctuations.
Key Levels outlined on chart.
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After testing 1820 twice (2014-04-21 and 2014-10-13), price pierced it and went to 1812, then peirced it again right away, hitting a new low of 1810. The 1820 level has been tested and pierced through. Then we got a bounce. Will the bounce continue? It might…
Or will price turn downward. And if it does, where is the next level of support?
Last week (ending Feb 26) saw massive buying, and in some of the worst stocks. NUS, P, RACE, TSLA all of which had *terrible* earnings reports. Massive bounces in JNK, HYG, neither of which seem to have reached a bottom (no price consolidation, bullish reversal, double bottom (adam & eve, etc)). I'm a bit skeptical that the bounce will continue upward much more, if at all.
I would not be surprised to see SPX at 1688 or even 1550 in two weeks.
I'm net short, but with what appear to be fundamentally weak aforementioned stocks/ETFs that have already bounced up, some as much as 30%! I am not myself short SPX / SPY, but short seems more reasonable here. Ditto for for the Russell 2000 IWM. I'm a beginner, and I don't have good entry points for the aforementioned stocks, nor the SPY.