YaKa

SP500 - 1990-1995 - Key trendline in Logarithmic and Linear

FX:SPX500   S&P 500 index of US listed shares
264 23 3
Just as a reference.
pcmourao
2 years ago
Eventually
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andrenero
2 years ago
I look at that chart as well, unfortunately not very many do. It's scary and most likely will happen.
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YaKa PRO andrenero
2 years ago
Not necessarily.. Most people rightfully trade trends.. they will cut their position after 3 months down in a row..

But i Just realised i did not post the log version... will do, it is interesting too, actually more interesting locally.
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jangseohee andrenero
2 years ago
the bears (including myself) reckon it will come down to at least 1800.. but it is not happening
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andrenero
2 years ago
Absolutely no one talking about the hanging man on the monthly with confirmation.
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Recluse82 andrenero
2 years ago
like in 2007 top doji and confirmation
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snapshot
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YaKa PRO charlie.delta.trader
2 years ago
Well - By now, i know you are very bullish.

Step by step, for now I firmly believe it is a short to 1930/1880... That bottom needs to be bought to 2140.

The next top will probably be in June/july15. But after that I think the market is going to endure a severe correction of 20%. Your scenario could come after that.

Again, i am interested to legs that are common to many scenarios (the bear and the bull)...

Then when the market is short for a few weeks, you see if one week breaks it all...

Same with the long, you buy 1880, you are long for 3months... if one week does 1950/2050 in one go and there remains 6 weeks to go, you know it can go higher... etc..
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charlie.delta.trader YaKa
2 years ago
Look: perfect symmetry

snapshot
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YaKa PRO charlie.delta.trader
2 years ago
Charlie, you made your point. Thx for this. You don't need to convince me, going to be tough, as i pick up on stuff and a few times a year, I have a conviction which is the case here.

I tend to know when i know and when i dont... here my short feels very natural. It s going to make money.
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YaKa PRO charlie.delta.trader
2 years ago
Charlie, question: are you trading? becausse i recall you sending me a bull chart in dec.. I was short and it fell 5%... did you hold through and you are still long?
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charlie.delta.trader YaKa
2 years ago
I LONG CALL OPT JUN.15
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YaKa PRO charlie.delta.trader
2 years ago
strike? bought when/what premium?
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charlie.delta.trader YaKa
2 years ago
2000 - 2015
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YaKa PRO charlie.delta.trader
2 years ago
? what strike/what premium/when did you buy
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charlie.delta.trader YaKa
2 years ago
saxo bank
dukascopy
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YaKa PRO charlie.delta.trader
2 years ago
I bought the put spread 2000/1930 March for 12
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elp charlie.delta.trader
2 years ago
I've seen this setup before and it usually results in a sell off.
snapshot
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http://www.businessinsider.com/fundstrat-tom-lee-2015-forecast-2014-12
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YaKa PRO charlie.delta.trader
2 years ago
I agree with one thing: if the market is going to be very bullish until the last day of the year, the max top could be 2325 (exactly)..

BUT i think the max scenario is not going to happen. Anyway i will have time to adjust and that would mean the july/oct correction would be shallow instead of deep as i forecast.
-1 Reply
jangseohee
2 years ago
for the moment, it broke out and retest
snapshot
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YaKa PRO jangseohee
2 years ago
Good one Jang. That's probably what is retaining close to top... Need to break below 2040 then.
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jangseohee YaKa
2 years ago
fingers crossed !!!
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