If falls short of 1986.3 / , & with failure to break above recent intraday highs (a & c) could precipitate resignation / acceptance of a market (of which I interpret this triangle as denial)
Expecting proportionately wave i of iii to drop to steeper bottom, upper 1940s / 1950 area, at least aiming there (& the bottom of the long term up)
I like to count, but second waves are not allowed to be triangles. I think you are looking at a simple flat wave ii and wave iii lower should be seen any time now.
I think you are a bit conservative with you wave iii target too. This will likely be at least 161.8% the length of wave i, which should take wave iii down to 1,928 and possibly even lower.