finitemonk

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Markets Allocation
64 % forex 7 % indices 4 % commodities 26 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
USDJPY 31% | 53 EURUSD 22% | 38 SPX 9% | 16 XAUUSD 6% | 11
finitemonk finitemonk PRO 1/EURCHF+1/GBPCHF+1/AUDCHF+1/NZDCHF+1/USDCHF+1/CADCHF, D, 9 months ago
1/EURCHF+1/GBPCHF+1/AUDCHF+1/NZDCHF+1/USDCHF+1/CADCHF: Swiss Franc, forming bullish triangle
Swiss Franc, forming bullish triangle
Methodology, as previous chart blurb (link below). Also rationale for omitting Yen, as per previous. The price movements do appear to be contracting in a sideways fashion, zig by zag. Overall the Swiss Franc is in a long term gently upward sloping channel, hence I've put the C wave up on the top. Not quite sure ...
finitemonk finitemonk PRO GBPUSD, M, 10 months ago
GBPUSD: GBPUSD, Elliott Waves and North Sea Oil.
235 0 6
GBPUSD, M
GBPUSD, Elliott Waves and North Sea Oil.
Sterling has a long history of depreciation against the US Dollar. … 1940: “The pound sterling... declining from US$4.86 to US$4.06”. (A History of the Canadian Dollar, Bank of Canada) Using charts from here http://fxtop.com/en/historical-exchange-rates.php, the price movements can be approximated back to ...
finitemonk finitemonk PRO AUDUSD, 120, 10 months ago
AUDUSD: AUDUSD/SPX Correlation & Wave Count
82 0 2
AUDUSD, 120
AUDUSD/SPX Correlation & Wave Count
I'm not so much interested in the tight correlation, what interests me is the apparent same minor wave count. As suggested previous chart on the AUDUSD it had formed a wave e and then it did a lovely (and very profitable) 400+ pip drop off taking out the low back in September last year. But after what I've ...
finitemonk finitemonk PRO AUDJPY, D, 11 months ago
AUDJPY: AUDJPY, Correction Near Completion
96 0 2
AUDJPY, D
AUDJPY, Correction Near Completion
AUDJPY, 8th January 2016 As per chart. Seems to be just about to complete or has completed a five wave ending diagonal form descent, as a wave C of the larger corrective structure. The wave A completed a five wave descent back in August '13, a B wave, then a C wave with each descending wave a zigzag. I'm sort of ...
finitemonk finitemonk PRO GBPUSD, D, 11 months ago
GBPUSD: GBPUSD - Adjusted Wave Count
160 2 4
GBPUSD, D
GBPUSD - Adjusted Wave Count
GBPUSD, 3rd January 2016 Last post on this pair I suggested it was near completion - 'almost' … turned out to be a bit more 'almost' than I thought. I also mentioned I wasn’t wholly happy about the count – one thing I wasn't really sure of is that what I had labelled (i), appeared to be only one wave, not a ...
finitemonk finitemonk PRO AUDUSD, 120, 11 months ago
AUDUSD: Using Fibonacci to Count Waves
171 0 4
AUDUSD, 120
Using Fibonacci to Count Waves
AUDUSD, 1st January 2016 Over the past couple of months I've been teaching myself to count waves using Fibonacci & realizing the importance of this. (And some of my previously published counts, say a year or two ago, are really quite off in the detail if not also overall - hehe). Here goes. Going up from the ...
finitemonk finitemonk PRO SPX500, 240, a year ago
SPX500: Into Wave V
346 2 4
SPX500, 240
Into Wave V
I just thought I'd put this wave count out before the FOMC in 2.5 hrs or so ... I feel this is most likely correct (currently) I like the way of wave iv, circled, wave (w) and (y) are pretty much of identical length, forming a flat. There are similarities to the DJIA, 1975, July 14th - Oct. 1st. Not because I was ...
finitemonk finitemonk PRO GBPUSD, 360, a year ago
GBPUSD: GBPUSD - Wave Complete?
656 11 8
GBPUSD, 360
GBPUSD - Wave Complete?
Or almost? The pair missed touching the 0.7639 retrace level by a whisker Wednesday … resonable level to clock a reversal. The wave count I'm not 100% happy with but the very best I can do currently to make structural sense of a bit of a mess. Scenario 1: the pair tucks itself down into a small ending diagonal ...
finitemonk finitemonk PRO GBPUSD+GBPCAD+GBPNZD+GBPAUD+GBPCHF+1/EURGBP, W, a year ago
GBPUSD+GBPCAD+GBPNZD+GBPAUD+GBPCHF+1/EURGBP: A Look at Sterling
A Look at Sterling
Validity of Method: Do the same thing with the US Dollar - a near replication of the Dollar Index Leaving out the Yen: My perception of the Yen is a) it's a bit out on it's own among the commonly traded currencies and b) CB intervention / policy lends a possibly unhelpful distortion. (Leaving out say the Swedish ...
finitemonk finitemonk PRO SPX500, 240, a year ago
SPX500: Well Enough Defined Channel
80 1 4
SPX500, 240
Well Enough Defined Channel
The recent "China" drop is almost exactly the same as the 2011 correction, which suggests they are related, as possibly wave 2 & 4 (?) ... If so, then there should be some relationship between this current wave and the waves preceding the 2011 drop. (That depends on the interpretation of those, of course). It is ...
finitemonk finitemonk PRO SPX500, 120, a year ago
SPX500: Wave (iv) almost complete
169 0 2
SPX500, 120
Wave (iv) almost complete
There might be a few ways to label this but I think it's just completing a C wave dropping down from 2103. I'm expecting it to maybe drop to about 2064 where there is some previous minor resistance. (The fib levels marked are from wave (i) and since the 0.618 sat on the 2070 subdivide .. there is a way of ...
finitemonk finitemonk PRO XAUUSD, W, a year ago
XAUUSD: The End is Nigh?
138 0 2
XAUUSD, W
The End is Nigh?
About 6 months ago I published a chart trying to make sense of the upward a-b-c wave ... At that point in latest April this year ... I mentioned it would hit "heavy resistance at 1231 or thereabouts" marking 1232.73 on the chart, which it did ... "It may try to take out the multiyear lows, and have a crack at ...
finitemonk finitemonk PRO EURJPY, 240, Long , a year ago
EURJPY: EURJPY: Time for Long?
34 0 5
EURJPY, 240 Long
EURJPY: Time for Long?
It would appear there is an wave upward due, a C wave to form a zig-zag,because by the count shown there are 3 waves up from 126, back in April, three waves sideways but slightly down in a channel so there should be 5 or maybe 3 waves up. From observation B waves are frequently the ones which themselves contain ...
finitemonk finitemonk PRO EURUSD, 240, Long , a year ago
EURUSD: Pre-FOMC: Waves and Numbers
73 1 3
EURUSD, 240 Long
Pre-FOMC: Waves and Numbers
I know some Elliott Wave analysts say the Euro is going lower against the USD, and it's in a full motive wave downward ... it may be so. Such are probabilities. But to me it looks proportionally wrong. Plus I'm looking at the now 3 x '3-3-5' wave subdivision and thinking ok, it's shot a bit lower than one may ...
finitemonk finitemonk PRO EURUSD, 120, a year ago
EURUSD: EURUSD Wave Count
132 0 0
EURUSD, 120
EURUSD Wave Count
This pair just at a point where the 50ma is moving above the 200ma on daily chart, the euro itself appears to be consolidating to move higher, certainly on most x's This is how I had the wave count 24 hours ago, still intact (I was a bit put off by the wee triangle, which looked bearish) but then reading the rsi, ...
finitemonk finitemonk PRO EURUSD, D, a year ago
EURUSD: Ending Diagonal?
123 1 2
EURUSD, D
Ending Diagonal?
It was all looking quite lovely until after the drop I've labelled (a) of 1, and then it wasn't. The neat thing about it following now into a wave 3 of what could become an ending diagonal is that wave 3 ends in equal time to wave 1 on the next FOMC. The crucial September. What do have is an abc followed by what ...
finitemonk finitemonk PRO EURUSD, D, 2 years ago
EURUSD: Strange Pressures
317 0 6
EURUSD, D
Strange Pressures
From a technical perspective: 1. the pair hasn't yet busted the upside of the down channel 2. I'm watching the 0.382 retracement level and wondering if that marks a wave (e). It does sit at the previous wave (iv) level at 1.139 ... 3. which makes with the recent minor wave counts all the right noises for a ...
finitemonk finitemonk PRO JY1!, W, 2 years ago
JY1!: Yen: Commodities Correlation
15 0 0
JY1!, W
Yen: Commodities Correlation
JY1! (red) and the DJ UBS Commodities Index (blue). Do commodities only pick up if and when the Yen starts to revalue? What effect the EURJPY on commodity prices? Does a bund assisted revaluation of the Euro somewhat mute "price stability"?
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