claydoctor
Short

spx500 3 crosses update

FX:SPX500   S&P 500 index of US listed shares
323 3 11
2 months ago
can we get on with this thing already. bearish divergence more similar to 2000 crash than 2008. RIGHT AT RSI LEVELS FOR TRUE ACTION. How about we call it November 9, 2016? Bollinger band tight now for amazingly long historic time frame, and tighter than ever, like suspended in time, political manipulation to the nth factor. That alone should tell you there is soooooo much at stake with this election outcome, does the economic model change forever or try to rebuild? That is the question. And the markets, the money is just grabbing a smoke, waiting at the bar, making small talk, while we know the result. It is simple, Hillary wins, taxes skyrocket, crash, corporate stored cash runs and hides, no reinvestment. Trump wins, huuuuge corporate sigh, corporate stored cash gets released, companies reinvest, tax breaks all around, market is off to new highs. Guess who I thinks wins? BTW, fun fact, there is no matching corporate payroll tax on robots. who would you hire, robot or human, to cut costs, increase profits? Making the tax revenue higher to those who actually do pay it, and higher, and higher, with each new cost savings tech added.
2 months ago
Comment: If FOMC raises rates september meeting, this could be the start of the decline. One of many possible catalysts. So, is a rate hike baked in now, or not, mmmmmmm?
2 months ago
Comment: A couple more hawkish speaches should do it. they are trying to ease the markets into this rate hike with speaches timed out a couple more before nept fed mtg just so it isnt an overnight shock, but it will shock because it wasnt baked in at all. sell baby sell, before you cannot.
HarbeerS
2 months ago
chart is perfect yet would like to add should wait for shorts till rsi below 60 and vix fix value crosses above 15k. Since this being a monthly you can see more likely a selloff in the next year first qtr and forward as in 2007-08 onwards and 99-2000 and onwards
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claydoctor HarbeerS
2 months ago
Thanks for those specifics, agree on values and levels but maybe not on timing. vix lows so compressed, a lot like gold was before its rise. they will pop, big time, quickly, and then we see if market follows or resists.
Reply
HarbeerS claydoctor
2 months ago
Yup and you can always find the similarities in the timings too
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