Short term view and war inflection point, game theory

FX:SPX500   S&P 500 Index
Using game theory and other tools: War inflection point is forming around 7/31/15 thus this will send stocks to a nice correction, which some argue is overdue.

Rise of the machine is coming, while corporate entities are slow to adopt human work-task reduction due to automated AI systems and robots, profit potential can't be ignored and it wont. This is a moving train effect, and the train has left the station. Next 5 years will be unlike any other in history.

The onset of this AI evolution will make the last industrial revolution a drop in the bucket.

True volatility has been removed by what Mr. Ben Bernanke has done, a genius in its own class. Did he foresee the coming rise of the machine? What Ms Yellen is trying to do is make a compromise between Mr. Bernanke's policy and "normalization" - it will fail
On point.
Interesting chart. Can you point me to some explanation how you arrived with an calculation at this "war inflection point" around 7/31/15?

Here is my bearish S&P 500 chart, which is only valid if Greece defaults:
ChartArt ChartArt
BTW: The Renko you are using is not configured properly. Since a year has 12 months I would use period 12 not 10 on your RNK indicator which uses monthly data for the average true range calculation.
ChartArt ChartArt
There is a big difference between looking at the yearly trend and only a 10 month trend. I made a comparison:

Period 10 (therefore a 10 month look-back, as used on your chart)

Period 12 (therefore a 12 month look-back, how I would trade)
Marek99 ChartArt
I like the 10 better, as far as the prediction goes, its more then just one tool like game theory...

I also run outcomes on Iran talks, France deals, Egypt.. my cpu power to calculate everything is super low by contrast, and takes a while. I have plans to expand my CPU power soon and then I can time things. Debating rent or buy CPU time...
ChartArt Marek99
I also noticed that

a) calculating it now 2 days later shows you a different Renko level, you now have to use period 9 to see something similar
b) calculating it on SPX or ES1 or SP1 instead of SPX500 also shows you other different Renko levels

Period 9 on SPX500

Period 10 on SPX500

Period 12 on SPX500


Period 9 on SPX

Period 10 on SPX

Period 12 on SPX


Period 9 on E-mini S&P500

Period 10 on E-mini S&P500

Period 12 on E-mini S&P500


Period 9 on S&P500 future, SP1

Period 10 on S&P500 future, SP1

Period 12 on S&P500 future, SP1

ChartArt ChartArt
one more:

Period 9 on SPY, S&P500 ETF

Period 10 on SPY, S&P500 ETF

Period 12 on SPY, S&P500 ETF

ChartArt ChartArt
My conclusion with much higher periods comparing all symbols:

SPX500 does not give you the optimal information. The other symbols more closely show what the SPX index trend is, while SPX500 is way off from that level.
ChartArt ChartArt
even one more:

Period 9 on ProShares S&P500

Period 10 on ProShares S&P500

Period 12 on ProShares S&P500
ChartArt ChartArt
finding all S&P 500 info :) one more

Period 9 on Direxion S&P500 3x

Period 10 on Direxion S&P500 3x

Period 12 on Direxion S&P500 3x
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