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Dangerous TOTAL2 PRZ?! Crypto market dump ahead?

CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2   Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding BTC, $
In order to have a bull market, it's essential to absorb more money; and I mean BIG MONEY! The main reason that crypto market made huge profits in 2021 was that more people understood what cryptocurrency actually is. This led to normal people (such as me and other new to crypto fellas) investing on this market hoping to get good profit and we got it! But how long would this bull run last? The answer lays beneath the TOTAL and TOTAL2 charts. These charts reveal how much money the entire market has absorbed.
As I mentioned at first, the more money the market gains, the more it grows. But when the money slowly leaves, the Market Cycle Phase changes. You may ask what it means, so here's a simple explanation from Investopedia:
1. Accumulation phase: This phase occurs when the market has bottomed and the main investors such as big corporations, money managers and smart investors start buying. In this phase valuations are attractive, yet huge percentage of investors still consider the market bearish and the sentiment analysis say so.
2. Mark-Up Phase: During this phase, technicians see the movement in the market and other investors get on the bullish train and prices start to go higher and higher. This is investors favorite phase! No matter what you buy and when you buy it, you make great profits.
3. Distribution Phase: In this Phase, sellers start to dominate the market, the bullish sentiment changes to mixed sentiment and prices often move in trading range. As soon as this phase comes to the end, the prices start to reverse and classic patterns such as double top or triple top appear on charts.
4. Mark-Down Phase: Without any doubt, this phase is the scariest of all 4 and the nightmare of investors. During this phase, prices go lower and lower, the news would be all bearish. If we carefully observe the third phase and exit the market, our money can be safe but if not the nightmare would become real without any doubt.
If you take a closer look you'll realize that the TOTAL2 was unable to go higher than the all time high. You don't even need to be a technician to notice that. I used the 4H time frame on purpose. It is possible to see bullish movements in short-term yet it all could just be a pull back in long-term. The market cycle I mentioned earlier is fractal which means there could be bullish mark-up cycle in 1H or 4H time frame but not in long term.
In conclusion, this post wasn't here to scare you, but to inform you what could be awaiting us. The money I mentioned could leave one coin and be invested on another one, eg; from BTC to MANA or vise versa. This means it's still a very attractive market but you have to be more careful. Looking forward to hearing what you think!
Comment:
UPDATE: well, the trend is reversed now. We may observe few short-term uptrends but I expect at least one more market dump and the mid-term trend is down-trend for now at least.
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