The uptrend for Brent (UKOIL) remains clearly active for the moment although consolidation in the next few days seems favourable. ATR is very low around $1.65 and hasn’t picked up from summer’s lull, while the slow stochastic at 91 is in the zone of buying saturation. The upper band of Bollinger Bands (50, 0, 2) might continue to function as a dynamic resistance into next week.
For a new buyer here, finding an entry might be challenging because it’s not clear when a significant retracement might occur or what its extent might be. The 161.8% monthly Fibonacci extension based on 2020’s crash seems to have been broken for now, but waiting for the moving averages to catch up would traditionally be seen as sensible. Buy limits might be an option around the penultimate high slightly above $87.
However, American inflation coming up on Wednesday 13 September at 12.30 GMT is a key release for how it’s likely to drive the dollar. Equally, traders will analyse the IEA’s monthly oil market report due the same day at 8.00 GMT. Finally next week among major releases there’s Chinese industrial production for August early on Friday 15 September at 2.00 GMT.
If that misses the consensus of 4%, there might be some downward pressure and possible opportunities to sell in the short term or find a place to buy looking further ahead. One should also remember the possibility of a gap over the weekend and check regular stock data from the USA.
For a new buyer here, finding an entry might be challenging because it’s not clear when a significant retracement might occur or what its extent might be. The 161.8% monthly Fibonacci extension based on 2020’s crash seems to have been broken for now, but waiting for the moving averages to catch up would traditionally be seen as sensible. Buy limits might be an option around the penultimate high slightly above $87.
However, American inflation coming up on Wednesday 13 September at 12.30 GMT is a key release for how it’s likely to drive the dollar. Equally, traders will analyse the IEA’s monthly oil market report due the same day at 8.00 GMT. Finally next week among major releases there’s Chinese industrial production for August early on Friday 15 September at 2.00 GMT.
If that misses the consensus of 4%, there might be some downward pressure and possible opportunities to sell in the short term or find a place to buy looking further ahead. One should also remember the possibility of a gap over the weekend and check regular stock data from the USA.