HotForex

FTSE struggles on 6900 level

Short
TVC:UKX   UK 100 Index
European stock markets struggle ahead of ECB decision.

The stock rally in Asia that was underpinned by improved confidence on U.S.-Sino trade talks failed to give a lasting lift to European markets, with GER30 and UK100 unchanged from yesterday’s close. Investors remain cautious ahead of the ECB decision and the EU summit, where UK PM May will be trying to get further concessions from EU leaders after surviving the leadership battle yesterday.

Interestingly, along with Pound discount during 2018, we have seen so far UK100 moving lower for 5 consecutive months, after rejecting all time record high at 7903 in May.

Currently is trading below 6900 area, returning more than 38.2% of 2-year gains, after 9-week consolidation above this barrier. Hence the sharp pullback seen last week consider to be significant as it drove UK100 below 200-week SMA and a breath above a strong Support area, at the midpoint of 2016-2018 performance.

This could provide near or medium term Support for the pair, however the long term outlook remains negative for the asset, especially an the ongoing Brexit uncertainty. Hence in the medium term Support holds at 6668-6700 area. Further losses below this area could turn our attention in long term to 6420, with immediate Support holding at the round 6600 level (61.8 Fib. level since 2016 low). Weekly momentum indicators support the increase of negative momentum, As Rsi remains below 50 and MACD is extending further to the downside below signal line, supporting the continuation of the negative outlook for FTSE.

In the short-term nevertheless, the UK100 rebounded this week from year’s low, however yesterday’s doji candle along with today’s bearish move, suggest that a break of immediate Support within the day, below 6850, could imply to the retest of 6700 hurdle.

Andria Pichidi

Market Analyst

HotForex

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