Timing the First Rate Hike on the Fed's 'Dual Mandate'

FRED:UNRATE   Civilian Unemployment Rate
The Fed's rate hike timing is 'data dependent'. Few data points are as comprehensive and influential for determining monetary policy than the BLS's monthly labor statistics. The unemployment rate is good for the employment element of the mandate, but there is also an inflation gauge: wage growth. Will this data offer enough of a push to shift interest rate expectations - hawkish or dovish?


Very nice chart! It's good to learn about the 'FRED' data source. Thanks for your excellent work, John. I always love reading your posts and watching your DailyFX videos on YouTube. You help me to be prepared for what *will* happen, instead of always having to ask, "what happened?!" :)
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Thank you. I'm happy that it helps. This charting package is great in my opinion. I used to have to have three packages open, the bloomberg terminal and make my own. This replaces ~80% of it.
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Very nice chart and appropriate
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