US30/USD Shorts from 36600.0 back down.

OANDA:US30USD   US Wall St 30
Last week's price action exhibited significant ranging, mainly influenced by the proximity to all-time highs (ATHs). My current perspective is that US30 is actively generating liquidity, setting the stage for a bearish reaction once the daily supply is mitigated. This particular supply level holds substantial importance as it is the last on the chart, existing on a higher time frame and having broken structure to the downside. I anticipate a scenario where the price sweeps the top of the consolidation, touches my Point of Interest (POI), and subsequently descends towards the lower bounds of the consolidation and potentially even lower.

Given the post-Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) situation, I foresee a breakout from this range, initiating a trend and providing opportunities for traders like us to capitalize on. My strategy involves patiently waiting for a Wyckoff distribution to take shape in this zone, allowing us to secure a precise entry point for our bearish positions.

Confluences for US30 Sells are as follows:

- Price is near daily supply which has caused a BOS to the downside on the higher timeframe.

- There lots of liquidity lying below in the form of EQLs, Asia Lows, and trendline liquidity.

- The bottom part of the consolidation also holds lots of liquidity so we can target as T.P levels

- Wyckoff distribution is pending and still hasn't been formed yet on lower time frame.

- NFP event has also passed so now we could possibly see the real moves play out.

- Price has been very bullish recently and now bullish pressure is getting exhausted.

- This consolidation is a great sign that price might be looking to reverse soon.

P.S. I acknowledge the possibility of the price breaking the bottom first and interacting with a demand zone, triggering a bullish rally that could eventually exhaust the supply. It highlights the importance of adaptability. I'm closely monitoring multiple potential scenarios and adjusting my approach based on the direction the price may take. This approach enables us to identify more frequent opportunities in the market.


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